Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f1a6eb6262b27b315129702f0632ca96f9a3c8011208a1ca98815bd17b2da99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,644,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,923,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,644,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 275 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 10c | 200,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179,999.87 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 20c | 111,921$22,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89,208.91 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 11c | 86,990$9,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,421.1 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 11c | 71,274$7,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,433.96 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 44c | 60,000$26,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,639.98 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 10c | 58,579$5,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,824.82 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca1…dd13backed Yes | 72c | 43,346$31,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked No | 70c | 40,847$28,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,402.47 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -51%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 11c | 34,822$3,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,051.77 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 10c | 30,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,849.97 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 57c | 29,774$17,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,772.56 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 17c | 29,173$5,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,154.03 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 49c | 26,430$12,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,474.27 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +260.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed No | 10c | 23,166$2,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,849.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +198.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe461…0bd9backed Yes | 0c | 20,039$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 10c | 18,906$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,014.95 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 9c | 17,817$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,213.35 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 10c | 16,829$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,146.15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 28cpaid | +74%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 51c | 15,695$7,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,723.95 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 11c | 15,295$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,612.55 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 27c | 12,122$3,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,270.56 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 21c | 10,787$2,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,557.14 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…3fa1backed No | 18c | 9,378$1,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,719.91 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed Yes | 62c | 9,000$5,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,570 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -71%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed No | 10c | 8,603$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,742.88 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 11c | 8,019$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,136.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +181.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Yes | 75c | 8,019$6,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,013.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 17c | 7,948$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,598.77 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 11c | 7,603$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,794.49 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 20c | 7,234$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.81 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 14c | 7,152$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,171.77 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 39c | 5,465$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.32 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 2c | 5,112$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,449.99 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 73c | 4,906$3,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,593.04 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3444…46a1backed Yes | 35c | 4,818$1,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,686.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…6ba5backed Yes | 21c | 4,640$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 23cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 10c | 4,500$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,050 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 3c | 4,195$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,069.34 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +287.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x072c…f037backed Yes | 74c | 4,027$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 10c | 4,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 10c | 4,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 10c | 3,995$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,585.14 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 50c | 3,848$1,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.66 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed No | 11c | 3,790$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,379.95 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b86…d40abacked No | 11c | 3,500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,115 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed No | 62c | 3,209$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.41 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 1c | 3,159$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 3c | 3,000$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,907 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 73c | 2,995$2,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,171.67 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff0e…2991backed No | 11c | 2,953$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,627.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…0dadbacked Yes | 34c | 2,951$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 34c | 2,944$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 9c | 2,914$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,651.91 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e9…e9debacked No | 11c | 2,726$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,426.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked No | 11c | 2,713$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,414.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e0…2d3fbacked Yes | 70c | 2,555$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 17c | 2,449$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.37 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…63e6backed No | 69c | 2,411$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Yes | 50c | 2,310$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.47 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 68c | 2,211$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd371…4478backed No | 1c | 1,910$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890.41 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +1,204.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed No | 31c | 1,900$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.29 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed No | 72c | 1,845$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 40c | 1,835$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.09 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 10c | 1,800$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 11c | 1,668$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.37 | 150 | 64%96 W · 54 L | +25.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…16a4backed Yes | 33c | 1,518$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 52c | 1,401$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.3 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8819…4cf5backed No | 75c | 1,329$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf16…0601backed Yes | 29c | 1,200$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 9c | 1,195$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.9 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked No | 10c | 1,190$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.25 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 11c | 1,186$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.34 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…b60cbacked No | 11c | 1,121$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.03 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…ce04backed No | 10c | 1,102$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 50c | 1,101$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0887…408fbacked No | 10c | 1,099$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…85ecbacked No | 10c | 1,049$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 29c | 1,000$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.5 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 28c | 999.98$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.99 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…01eebacked Yes | 71c | 995$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.76 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045f…e343backed Yes | 79c | 954.07$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc47e…8ae4backed No | 5c | 840.56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +206.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes | 38c | 793.79$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 10c | 790.35$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.31 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 11c | 778.8$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.13 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 38c | 746.25$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 28c | 720.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 26c | 716.66$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c1…32f7backed Yes | 57c | 701.21$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.7 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…5c91backed Yes | 45c | 700$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa0…488bbacked Yes | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Yes | 49c | 683.45$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.7 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 62c | 681.53$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.02 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 32c | 679.51$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.13 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 67c | 673$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.14 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 37c | 627.22$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.98 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes | 46c | 605.86$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.75 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-14?this page
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-14?No won
- Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.