Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6d5e9ca3e2c12b8adc741f6fff6dda12e53462808b5aa1ae0701c7d5c4cd9ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $457,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $364,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $457,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9e6…025bbacked Yes | 4c | 100,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 3c | 63,789$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.66 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 3c | 21,006$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.03 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 34c | 10,000$3,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,376.73 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 11c | 7,581$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.46 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 3c | 6,642$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.9 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 5c | 6,258$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 3c | 5,934$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.29 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 4c | 5,349$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3246…99ddbacked Yes | 4c | 5,200$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 8c | 4,611$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.33 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 3c | 4,531$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.85 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 3c | 4,133$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.98 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…5c70backed Yes | 3c | 3,567$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 3c | 2,957$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.27 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…2c48backed Yes | 0c | 2,888$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Yes | 3c | 2,867$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.73 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 10c | 2,594$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.27 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 3c | 2,524$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.48 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed Yes | 5c | 2,400$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.6 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked No | 67c | 2,239$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.73 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Yes | 4c | 2,130$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b290backed Yes | 4c | 2,000$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +166.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 1c | 1,866$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 3c | 1,852$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 4c | 1,782$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.7 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 3c | 1,500$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca6f…e727backed Yes | 1c | 1,359$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 66c | 1,357$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.83 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d0…7b84backed Yes | 4c | 1,291$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 38cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0a…6b9fbacked Yes | 17c | 1,204$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes | 4c | 1,123$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 3c | 1,087$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc47f…94b4backed Yes | 47c | 1,071$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,067$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 28cpaid | +74%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 5c | 1,020$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8819…4cf5backed Yes | 55c | 913.64$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 78c | 829.29$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.08 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed Yes | 53c | 752.45$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed No | 58c | 750$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.75 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Yes | 3c | 700$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…8c98backed Yes | 4c | 676.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed No | 52c | 662.81$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.81 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed No | 56c | 646.73$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 607.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 3c | 600$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 3c | 600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 150 | 24%36 W · 114 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d7…6036backed Yes | 7c | 583.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27e4…ff39backed Yes | 4c | 576.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5571…4015backed Yes | 4c | 540.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 48c | 538.93$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.86 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 47c | 532.53$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.25 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked No | 58c | 518.13$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.13 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…fa77backed No | 58c | 518.13$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c9…2e68backed Yes | 39c | 509.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…fbbdbacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 54c | 479.61$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.51 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 9c | 468.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 63c | 465$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.96 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed Yes | 3c | 450.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…70a0backed Yes | 49c | 446.14$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 5c | 399.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 243 | 22.2%54 W · 189 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…a852backed Yes | 42c | 388.94$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.84 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked No | 52c | 386.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.03 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 381.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8e…27ffbacked Yes | 4c | 372.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 6c | 338.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf540…cc07backed Yes | 36c | 336.41$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Yes | 48c | 323.11$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed No | 55c | 315.88$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.14 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…12e7backed Yes | 3c | 312.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…4155backed Yes | 50c | 312.04$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff32…2496backed No | 65c | 308.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…18e4backed Yes | 45c | 300$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…7ef4backed Yes | 4c | 289.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf430…675abacked No | 70c | 271.55$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.74 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…8b3abacked Yes | 36c | 266.67$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 49c | 245.45$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 14c | 225$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6af1…0b91backed No | 58c | 214.36$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.11 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed No | 69c | 202.12$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e8…e986backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fe…7365backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked No | 51c | 198.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.02 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 60c | 188.48$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.39 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +815.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 27c | 182.29$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…1f46backed Yes | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe35e…7754backed No | 74c | 157.17$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb20c…aa73backed Yes | 52c | 152.96$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6976…f99bbacked No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4135…2d72backed Yes | 35c | 141.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…bf29backed Yes | 36c | 139.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-14?this page
- Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.