TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x27e4…ff39

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
100
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: La Liga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 56 out of 100; worst Middle East at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+566.7%+$283.33
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+66.7%+$16.67
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+316.7%+$79.17
Will Fulham win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Gateshead FC win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will West Ham win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Everton win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+117.4%+$29.35
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Exeter City FC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+284.6%+$71.15
Will Tottenham win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+150%+$37.5
All 17 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick28cpaid+156.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$83
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+1,011.1%+$1,011.11
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Will Girona FC win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+376.2%+$94.05
Will Levante UD win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+1,011.1%+$252.78
Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+455.6%+$113.89
Will Sevilla win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will Girona win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+78.6%+$19.64
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT130%0 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT100%0 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$298
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+203.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$54.21
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Yan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+334.8%+$83.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Old Dominion Monarchs vs. Richmond Spidersbacked Old Dominion Monarchs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colts vs. Seahawksbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiakós SFP vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.