TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-12-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$243,740
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$250,565

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $243,740 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No43c30,000$12,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,90031947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes57c29,936$17,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,872.6427750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No66c9,283$6,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,127.0430851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Yes31c8,099$2,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,627.322544%11 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes27c6,750$1,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,906.442846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No10c6,226$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.2910042%42 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No44c5,599$2,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,466.451,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Yes33c5,562$1,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,745.544050%20 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No27c4,880$1,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,306.444,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes22c4,676$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,638.296,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf209…97e1backed Yes34c2,939$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,939.957028.6%20 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No14c2,856$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.7467042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes66c2,820$1,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.351,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No67c2,538$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700.3213852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No68c2,339$1,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,597.222,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes34c2,200$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,451.968343.4%36 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No65c2,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.9814147.5%67 W · 74 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No66c1,740$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.3639156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63df…36c4backed Yes35c1,714$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.292133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes35c1,702$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.591,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Yes34c1,500$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.996150.8%31 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No44c1,316$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.0734628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed No66c1,300$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85810960.6%66 W · 43 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes51c1,240$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.6920239.6%80 W · 122 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes76c1,234$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.1669772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No69c1,228$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.551,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No65c1,201$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.921,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda91…6cc9backed Yes26c1,154$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.852445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+38.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed No78c1,114$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.9210768.2%73 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes28c1,110$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.623325.8%60 W · 173 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes18c1,090$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.2636462.9%229 W · 135 L+32.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4ef8…8712backed Yes34c1,029$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.41666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+53.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes34c1,000$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66044939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97b5…42f9backed Yes27c1,000$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73012746.5%59 W · 68 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes33c1,000$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6704847.9%23 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked No10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011227.7%31 W · 81 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7b6…cfe5backed Yes33c996.7$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.492755.6%15 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+39.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes21c952.38$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.3829044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No55c950.01$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.8428736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked No67c932.42$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.725556.4%31 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a83…195bbacked Yes34c912.88$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.52445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes31c896.77$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.779446.8%44 W · 50 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd371…4478backed No20c810.33$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.072425%6 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a4e…3309backed Yes33c807.97$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.973644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1434…bb9abacked Yes34c784.43$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.722365.2%15 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+45.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0e5f…1dc6backed Yes34c723.76$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.762835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No65c663.39$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.218950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e20…ac93backed Yes34c632.39$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.491861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+27.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb9ed…617ebacked Yes32c625$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4252552%13 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes22c609.9$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.6840150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed No54c600$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3217139.4%28 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No67c597.01$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40053134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes37c596.15$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.1443241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5ff…b97cbacked Yes34c588.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.24633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes35c572.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.465141.2%21 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab8…e88ebacked Yes27c555.56$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.56475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+123.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8479…37f8backed Yes22c550.77$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.63531.4%11 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+44.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes35c541$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.691,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed No74c540$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.64146.3%19 W · 22 L-6.0wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-25.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No79c504.96$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.4221965.3%143 W · 76 L+20.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x16b9…3d59backed Yes22c503.55$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.631931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick22cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed No31c471.99$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.4115238.8%59 W · 93 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No46c471.82$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.6584549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed No74c468.14$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.4212954.3%70 W · 59 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x660c…0645backed Yes26c457.33$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.332147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes31c447.96$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.9611540.9%47 W · 68 L-16.0wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-27.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xbb15…5fefbacked Yes80c434.08$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.826053.3%32 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes32c432.05$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.053636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3944…6470backed Yes34c419$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.541216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-58.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9776…fc56backed Yes24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.678040%32 W · 48 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No66c400$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2641,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee04…9612backed Yes24c400$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3042250%11 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+51.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes33c399.9$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.9317337.6%65 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb92d…bbcabacked Yes18c388.16$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.162835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1a…8480backed Yes27c376.47$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.475939%23 W · 36 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes26c352.67$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.9710956%61 W · 48 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No26c319.37$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.61,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes33c299.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.9944036.8%162 W · 278 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No59c298.22$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.0241344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No72c295.27$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.5956453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0a9…d68fbacked Yes35c293.66$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2a2…d5e9backed Yes35c285.91$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.915944.1%26 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes35c285.72$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.7215543.9%68 W · 87 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.713542.9%15 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked No66c284$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.445366%35 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9fc9…fa88backed No73c278.15$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.083663.9%23 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes18c277$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.1425836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No66c251.59$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.0225551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf647…c13ebacked No67c250.75$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-47.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked No65c249.01$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.7215350.3%77 W · 76 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dc4…306fbacked Yes34c227$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.826841.2%28 W · 40 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed No65c226.48$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.216053.3%32 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Yes33c216.15$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.821844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes60c209.31$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.4730739.4%121 W · 186 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes35c207.67$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.6558445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No66c204.08$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.6818551.9%96 W · 89 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe666…14f5backed Yes57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0613…5204backed Yes34c200$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1326036.7%22 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf70a…541dbacked Yes34c200$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1322343.5%10 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+51.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1202…6fe7backed No66c199.99$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.99650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.