TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x63df…36c4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.29
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$104.02
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$820Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$820
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,700
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$700
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$900
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,050
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+163.2%+$1,631.58
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$600
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+170.3%+$851.35
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+185.7%+$1,114.29
Will Fulham win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+170.3%+$851.35
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+278.5%+$1,392.4
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
All 21 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Levante UD win on 2026-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.95
Will Real Oviedo vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.08
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Girona FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$450
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+88.7%+$1,064.15
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+400%+$1,200
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Will Getafe CF win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$600
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Will Espanyol win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Sinner (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.29
Copa Colsanitas, Qualification: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Caroline Wernerbacked Irene Burillo Escorihuela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+97.2%+$48.6
Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauffbacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Set Handicap: Muchova (-1.5) vs Gauff (+1.5)backed Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$100
Set Handicap: Mertens (-1.5) vs Cirstea (+1.5)backed Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$98
Zadar: Duje Ajdukovic vs Matej Dodigbacked Matej Dodig · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+88.3%+$176.61
Miami Open: Darwin Blanch vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
BNP Paribas Open: Marcos Giron vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+40.4%+$60.6
BNP Paribas Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Talia Gibsonbacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$250
BNP Paribas Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Darja Vidmanovabacked Cristina Bucsa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+56.2%+$118.05
ATX Open: Kaja Juvan vs Peyton Stearnsbacked Stearns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+58.8%+$215.85
All 11 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+71%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+36.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+284.6%+$1,423.08
Will Italy win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will Romania win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$500
All 3 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$600
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+51.5%+$360.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$700
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$310
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.