TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Romania win on 2025-11-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$166,073
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$174,960

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,073 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes34c50,000$17,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,999.9927039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdaa…8420backed Yes34c30,443$10,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,403.461050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No66c25,911$17,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,905.934,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed No66c20,316$13,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,907.313650%18 W · 18 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-3.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No66c16,670$11,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,667.6616331.9%52 W · 111 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xab19…4876backed No66c15,000$9,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,1002133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No66c13,093$8,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,463.2176048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes35c10,008$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5002236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No68c5,994$4,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,888.2135942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No66c4,916$3,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,647.863,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No66c4,000$2,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,38021140.3%85 W · 126 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No67c3,980$2,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,323.7617048.2%82 W · 88 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No44c1,999$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.57740.3%31 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed Yes58c1,738$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.763633.3%12 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-36.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Yes60c1,498$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.211650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63df…36c4backed Yes35c1,449$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No65c1,443$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.9917345.7%79 W · 94 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes68c1,400$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.53951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No45c1,371$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.891,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No48c1,203$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.4134630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes11c1,053$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.8428731%89 W · 198 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No66c998.95$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.5310452.9%55 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6896…3682backed Yes22c910.87$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.011361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf457…d1a6backed No69c729.71$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.71850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No51c716$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.684544.4%20 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes32c699.97$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.9923622%52 W · 184 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No66c677$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.1811444.7%51 W · 63 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes8c675$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5429343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dfa…ab48backed Yes34c605.29$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44bc…c53ebacked Yes34c500$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked No66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1702060%12 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+29.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd35f…0d58backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked No30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3507038.6%27 W · 43 L+11.0wins+0.16per pick23cpaid+69%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Yes34c457.82$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.663450%17 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes33c454.55$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503161.3%19 W · 12 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+32.8%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xb2c7…5cffbacked Yes60c430.63$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No66c422.13$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.538359%49 W · 34 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed No53c395.83$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.519633.3%32 W · 64 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes33c390$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.8530031%93 W · 207 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes6c370$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.42025%5 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-63.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Yes57c350.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-69.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ca0…d4c7backed Yes34c335.24$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.98933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+140.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x967d…ef6abacked No68c316.18$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.186473.4%47 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9827…e5ffbacked No67c305.97$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.971741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf614…689abacked Yes33c302.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No66c302$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.687247.2%34 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9804…d512backed No67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-48.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1b2…b589backed Yes33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+45.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c13…ee33backed No42c299.96$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.981258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+57.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c6f…f078backed Yes34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0613…5204backed Yes34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004411.4%5 W · 39 L-6.8wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-59.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4d6a…4bbcbacked Yes34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ddd…71dbbacked Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd0bf…e4a1backed Yes35c285.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.991758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+35.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed No61c270$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.313957.6%80 W · 59 L+18.4wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+26.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf92c…60e7backed Yes39c270$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.3185.6%1 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick18cpaid-74.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26ab…41c1backed No75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.673246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc794…d09cbacked No67c223.88$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.881643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes33c209.9$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2710033%33 W · 67 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8208…1742backed Yes58c206.9$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.4wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-33.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3600…606fbacked Yes56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed Yes32c199.96$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.991163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.26per pick38cpaid+58.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No65c181$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4542352%220 W · 203 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No65c181$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4511646.6%54 W · 62 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes33c176.95$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.491,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Yes57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003520%7 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-47.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes18c165.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2623738.8%92 W · 145 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb6a…f116backed No67c165.02$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.46560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes34c158.75$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.616925.4%43 W · 126 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No45c157.62$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.9955045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefef…cd06backed Yes34c155.35$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.821233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4caf…6de9backed Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503426.5%9 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9833…7844backed Yes34c150$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9540%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x553b…f71cbacked Yes33c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.52416.7%4 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-50.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x15ba…f30dbacked No68c147.36$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3624837.1%92 W · 156 L-12.5wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508219.5%16 W · 66 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed No68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.066056.7%34 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcba…d962backed No68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe931…138bbacked No68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.062934.5%10 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10a0…3cfebacked Yes34c137.42$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x154c…658ebacked No67c124.95$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.894443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cb3…1356backed No71c121.58$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.675056%28 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb042…14f3backed Yes10c121.2$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.123033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-41.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbf2…3ef7backed Yes60c120$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-72.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b94…315bbacked Yes34c117.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33b9…ed3abacked Yes34c102.94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4b5…6a22backed No70c102.33$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.912138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-43.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa2b…adcfbacked Yes34c101.65$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.361833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab90…ea07backed No79c101.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.27475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5932629.1%95 W · 231 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8632…e3bfbacked Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3330%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348944.9%40 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.518641.4%77 W · 109 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed No67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333476.5%26 W · 8 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+26.2%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xff7c…3e9fbacked Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343119.4%6 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-36.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No65c98$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.313654.4%74 W · 62 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No65c93.46$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.278145.7%37 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7795…1db8backed No67c89.25$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.253855.3%21 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Yes58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011346%52 W · 61 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ca…0d75backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204231%13 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.