TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0bcc…8f80

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
195
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: World Politics, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 53 out of 100; worst Serie A at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST4447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,111Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,111
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,003Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$1,002.74
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,077Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+48.9%+$1,016.05
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,206Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$1,158.5
Aston Villa vs. Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,170Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+88.7%+$1,037.76
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,003Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+38.9%+$1,167.67
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,518Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$4,518.15
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,549Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$2,549.48
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$622Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$622.44
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$320.65
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,004Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,003.83
Will West Ham vs. Brentford end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$386
Will Brentford win on 2025-10-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$807.14
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$650
Will Tottenham vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$407.22
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,495Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$770.1
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,027Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$483.39
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$503Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$567.24
Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+158%+$948.03
Will Leeds United vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$406.58
Will Everton win on 2025-09-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10,046Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,045.85
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$28,458Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$36,218.81
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST3145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+31.6%+$3,157.89
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,121Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$2,120.61
Real Madrid vs. Celta Vigo: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$115
Spread: Real Madrid (-2.5)backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$85
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,884Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$1,884.12
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+88.7%+$886.79
Will Real Betis win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,077Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$3,077.13
Will Villarreal win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,248Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+40.8%+$1,326.69
Will Valencia vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$911Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$911
Will Valencia win on 2025-11-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,630Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+108.6%+$1,770.75
Will Real Betis win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,581Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$2,580.96
Will Valencia vs. Real Betis end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,023Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+244.9%+$2,505.32
Will Valencia win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$217
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$2,500
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,606Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$564.21
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,500
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,889Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+44%+$830.59
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10,045Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+37%+$3,715.44
Will Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,668Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,667.66
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,210Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,209.99
Will Villarreal win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,248Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$2,747.21
Will Sevilla vs. Villarreal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$750
Will Athletic Club vs. Girona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+175.3%+$1,928.06
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,911Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,910.86
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,501Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,500.57
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST2835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$368.01
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,732Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$777.98
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Galatasaray SK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+37%+$332.88
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,774Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$1,284.71
Will Páfos FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$750
Will Qairat FK vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$551Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$1,225.37
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,768Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,767.9
Will Newcastle United win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$862Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+105.3%+$907.74
Will Union St. Gilloise vs. Newcastle United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$468
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,701Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,700.62
Will Atalanta win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,010Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+86%+$1,728.55
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,915Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+178.4%+$5,199.63
Will Newcastle United vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,085Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,085
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27,047Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$21,251.54
Will Olympiakos Piraeus win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,961Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,960.79
Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$960.78
Will PSV Eindhoven vs. Union St. Gilloise end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will PSV Eindhoven win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$6,604Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,603.93
Will Fenerbahçe win on 2025-08-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$180
Will Benfica vs. Fenerbahçe end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$220
Will Qarabag win on 2025-08-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Sturm Graz vs. Bodo/Glimt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$230
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-08-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$270
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST230%0 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,234
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,588Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,587.95
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,313Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,313.35
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$2,755Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,754.54
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,317Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,317
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$607Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$607
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,969Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,969.08
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,415Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,415
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,936Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,936
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,384Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,384
Will Bitcoin reach $135K in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin reach $200K in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$204
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Bitcoin reach $200K in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$351
Will Bitcoin reach $135K in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$77
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$113
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$187
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$940.15
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$550
All 23 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST2334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-38.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pisa SC win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$550
Will Pisa SC vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$450
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,102Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+231.2%+$2,547.48
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,987Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,986.91
Will Lazio win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$385.2
Inter vs. Lazio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,915Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$3,915
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000.81
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$378.7
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$246.26
Will Torino win on 2025-09-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$12,500
Will Parma vs. Torino end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12,636Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$12,636.46
Will AC Milan vs. Napoli end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$28,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$28,000
Will Napoli win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25,222Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$25,222
Will AS Roma win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20,012Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+43.1%+$8,628.82
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Udinese end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$12,800
Will Udinese win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14,233Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$14,233.31
Will Napoli win on 2025-09-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+33.7%+$1,010.59
Will AS Roma win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will AS Roma vs. Torino end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,500
Will Napoli win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$41,765Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+104%+$43,447.59
Will Inter win on 2025-08-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,064Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$413.78
Will Juventus win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$429
Will Genoa win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,701Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,701
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST2236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$920Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$920
Will Norway win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,240Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+222.6%+$2,760.42
Will Ukraine vs. Iceland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$2,000
Will Iceland win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$6,728Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$6,728.42
Will Hungary vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$1,679.99
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,328Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+335.4%+$4,453.63
Will Romania win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$3,500
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Romania end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$2,500
Will Slovakia vs. Northern Ireland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$2,600
Will Slovakia win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+112.8%+$4,961.7
Will Albania win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$6,074Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+25%+$1,518.45
Will Iceland win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+55.5%+$2,221.81
Will Romania win on 2025-10-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$507Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+321.2%+$1,628.51
Will Latvia win on 2025-10-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$401.11
Will Sweden vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$404
Will Sweden win on 2025-10-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$596Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$596
Will Czechia vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$1,358.79
Will Croatia win on 2025-10-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$977Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$977.47
Will Finland win on 2025-10-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,008Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+52.2%+$525.97
Will Romania win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$55,402Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$55,401.84
Will Germany win on 2025-09-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$999Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$998.7
Will Austria beat Romania?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 22 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,975Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,975
Will FCSB win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$405
Will FCSB vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$629.61
Will FCSB vs. BSC Young Boys end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$419Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$418.78
Will FCSB win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$1,173.91
Will Go Ahead Eagles vs. FCSB end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,242Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,242.36
Will FCSB win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,475Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+354.2%+$5,224.6
Will Nice vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$301
Will AS Roma win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,699Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$2,251.71
Will FCSB vs. Aberdeen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Will Aberdeen win on 2025-08-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Will FCSB win on 2025-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$939Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$939
Will Aberdeen vs. FCSB end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$675Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+231.6%+$1,563.61
Europa League Finalbacked Tottenham · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,477Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+137.9%+$2,036.55
All 15 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick22cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$746Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$745.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.