TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Iceland win on 2025-11-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$711,453
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$730,467

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $711,453 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 273 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0979…8d9bbacked Yes64c422,416$268,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153,778.444047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed No38c150,000$57,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,999.992326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-51.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No35c120,778$41,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,707.4176048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No35c85,774$30,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,180.474,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No35c50,169$17,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,557.3116331.9%52 W · 111 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No38c46,106$17,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,355.475538.2%21 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes64c40,000$25,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,40027039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed No36c38,644$13,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,911.873650%18 W · 18 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-3.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes63c19,733$12,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,227.1530031%93 W · 207 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No38c15,094$5,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,660.5974752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No35c12,398$4,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,309.57354.8%40 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No37c12,055$4,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,470.83,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No38c10,000$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8007038.6%27 W · 43 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Yes64c8,816$5,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,158.127061.4%43 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No28c8,124$2,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,270.7835942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes57c8,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,399.994367.4%29 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Yes62c7,975$4,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,028.011752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bf4…952ebacked Yes66c7,625$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,625.591040%4 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No35c7,387$2,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,611.9217345.7%79 W · 94 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes64c6,222$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,221.812236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No33c5,800$1,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,931.9923622%52 W · 184 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed No39c5,500$2,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,145837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed No36c5,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.99560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cb6…15cdbacked Yes64c4,372$2,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,573.891338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca91…978cbacked Yes61c3,282$1,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,286.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes65c3,077$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.922839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x250b…9cb5backed Yes65c3,070$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.424936.7%18 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-31.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No38c3,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14013235.6%47 W · 85 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed No33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99040%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9665…e721backed Yes64c3,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.971250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf327…34dbbacked No30c2,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes67c2,357$1,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.0521837.2%81 W · 137 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c35…20c0backed Yes66c2,324$1,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+44.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Yes65c2,320$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.1742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick70cpaid-37.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No35c2,287$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.3221140.3%85 W · 126 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Yes65c2,133$1,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.053959%23 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No35c2,100$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.9916244.4%72 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed No36c2,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.994027.5%11 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-38.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No37c1,938$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.118538.8%33 W · 52 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No7c1,919$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.4323738.8%92 W · 145 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x043d…2807backed No35c1,900$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66530%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2bb…aad7backed No38c1,811$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68830%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1280…6b24backed Yes65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.461861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed No36c1,389$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004418.2%8 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-46.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No33c1,319$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.234630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7fa…44e5backed No41c1,228$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Yes65c1,116$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.7124732.4%80 W · 167 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c8…8272backed No35c1,100$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dad…805abacked No35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick46cpaid-74.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x88de…1091backed No38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38021016.7%35 W · 175 L-0.9wins0.00per pick17cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No37c999.93$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.9838526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Yes64c933$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.211593.3%14 W · 1 L+4.5wins+0.30per pick63cpaid+51.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No38c921$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.9812047.5%57 W · 63 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No33c878.64$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.571,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1334…3c35backed Yes63c808.19$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.193818.4%7 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No31c799.89$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.5228754.7%157 W · 130 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed No41c679.91$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.315356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No37c668.21$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.188145.7%37 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked No39c666$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.7440%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No34c651.74$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.048960.7%54 W · 35 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No38c476$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.2642352%220 W · 203 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8d1…ad22backed Yes65c462.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.751540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes65c461.84$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.8412554.4%68 W · 57 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bb1…f1e1backed Yes67c429.7$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.8862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+91.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes61c427$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.688930.3%27 W · 62 L-0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+43.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes64c424.36$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.363036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes64c406.25$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.2516965.1%110 W · 59 L+14.6wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4c13…ee33backed Yes57c405.05$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.171258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+57.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No37c400$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14829250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d80…07d4backed Yes62c395.89$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.44742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x366c…8184backed No37c389.49$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.11450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33ef…c498backed Yes57c354$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.225851.7%30 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes64c346.88$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.882638.5%10 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4451…79f7backed Yes58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.83922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick17cpaid-63.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.584447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Yes63c317.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.5420337.9%77 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9827…e5ffbacked No36c317.48$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.291741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes64c310.77$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.951822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21b2…b602backed Yes62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1141070%7 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No36c299.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No36c279.98$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7920036%72 W · 128 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked No35c270.98$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6213131.3%41 W · 90 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21e2…bd6dbacked No35c263.09$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.081471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x165d…79c6backed No39c261.84$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.214946.9%23 W · 26 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No38c261$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1512945%58 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ec3…d1c7backed No20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No39c241.66$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9155045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Yes63c222.34$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.272733.3%9 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked No10c220$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226222.6%14 W · 48 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-11.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No38c205.69$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.111748.7%57 W · 60 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x261b…b32bbacked Yes63c203.75$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.951952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…487dbacked No37c200.39$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.792650%13 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd58b…48e8backed No38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed No35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.26per pick38cpaid+58.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed No32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644533.3%15 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-40.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Yes64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722729.6%8 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-43.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1a3…0c69backed Yes64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7218150.3%91 W · 90 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2816…0730backed No36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-36.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8048…f48dbacked Yes65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes64c199.98$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.995154.9%28 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.