TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1ec3…d1c7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
117
Categories scored
31
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST1957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+63.9%+$59.16
Senators vs. Kingsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Panthers vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Islanders vs. Utahbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+185.7%+$185.71
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Kings vs. Maple Leafsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$306
Ducks vs. Avalanchebacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Stars vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$204
Avalanche vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Lightning vs. Golden Knightsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Panthers vs. Kingsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+31.6%+$31.58
Flyers vs. Predatorsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+117.4%+$162
Ducks vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$124
Canadiens vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+35.2%+$52.08
Blue Jackets vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+96.1%+$97.99
Utah vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+75.4%+$129
Jets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+96.1%+$147
Bruins vs. Islandersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+98%+$49.02
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST1855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$128
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+69.5%+$69.49
Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+69.5%+$69.49
Suns vs. Mavericksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+88.7%+$94
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Grizzlies vs. Celticsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$201.36
Spread: Pacers (-1.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$109.45
Spread: Raptors (-9.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+85.2%+$92
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+25%+$12.5
Grizzlies vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+25%+$12.5
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+88.7%+$94
Hawks vs. Clippersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+156.4%+$122
Suns vs. Clippersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+72.4%+$84
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+112.8%+$106
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$74
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$3.75
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$150
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$124
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+102.3%+$128.95
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$61
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Open de Moselle: Francesco Passaro vs Alexander Blockxbacked Passaro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$68
Hellenic Championship: Mackenzie McDonald vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+63.9%+$78
Open de Moselle: Daniel Altmaier vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+61.3%+$68.4
WTA Finals, Serena Williams Group: Amanda Anisimova vs Madison Keysbacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+41%+$21.62
WTA Finals, Serena Williams Group: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+135.9%+$168.32
Hellenic Championship: Eliot Spizzirri vs Laslo Djerebacked Djere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$74
Open de Moselle, Qualification: Luca Van Assche vs Moez Echarguibacked Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+40.8%+$29
Hellenic Championship, Qualification: Vit Kopriva vs Eliot Spizzirribacked Spizzirri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+35.1%+$26
Hellenic Championship, Qualification: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Henry Bernetbacked Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+53.8%+$35
All 15 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST60%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+25%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+116.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. VCU Ramsbacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$30.8
Spread: Houston Cougars (-10.5)backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+132.6%+$59.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Packers Team Total: O/U 23.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+81.8%+$8.96
Ravens vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-32.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Imperial (BO3)backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$99.02
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Machida Zelvia vs. FC Tōkyō end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+156.4%+$46.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fenerbahce vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+112.8%+$106
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2025-11-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+75.4%+$37.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$17.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$42.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$90
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iceland win on 2025-11-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Union Berlin vs. Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Girona win on 2025-11-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.