CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14b48903b8580276894713929361dd4e744cefe7bcee7ebf9f558e7a409fdef4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIAof FURIA, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed MOUZ | 40c | 10,220$4,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,065.8 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc06a…f31fbacked FURIA | 51c | 7,989$4,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,899.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed MOUZ | 49c | 5,476$2,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,683.29 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA | 56c | 3,383$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.98 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdf…ec4bbacked MOUZ | 65c | 3,063$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.72 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked FURIA | 61c | 2,404$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.08 | 164 | 48.2%79 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed FURIA | 47c | 2,149$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.93 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed FURIA | 43c | 1,488$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.57 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf94…402dbacked FURIA | 51c | 1,442$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked FURIA | 47c | 1,356$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.47 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed FURIA | 49c | 1,096$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.2 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4635…9f6fbacked FURIA | 59c | 1,092$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.53 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked FURIA | 51c | 831.37$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.37 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…ee55backed MOUZ | 50c | 799.17$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.57 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked FURIA | 45c | 793.66$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.98 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9975…e7e6backed MOUZ | 52c | 574.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed FURIA | 52c | 561.19$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.37 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad4b…e93dbacked MOUZ | 48c | 414.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed FURIA | 51c | 347.33$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.14 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00c…e240backed MOUZ | 65c | 295.08$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed FURIA | 46c | 224.53$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.25 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2472…5f0dbacked FURIA | 53c | 217.38$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.17 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed FURIA | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked FURIA | 37c | 207.26$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.71 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed MOUZ | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 156 | 42.3%66 W · 90 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed FURIA | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…51edbacked FURIA | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…f72fbacked FURIA | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aed…eb43backed MOUZ | 53c | 187.42$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked FURIA | 46c | 178.4$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.63 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…9751backed FURIA | 51c | 164.65$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked FURIA | 62c | 120$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 307 | 48.9%150 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked MOUZ | 53c | 113.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…eda0backed FURIA | 48c | 110.46$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.46 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…3ecfbacked FURIA | 69c | 108.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec3…d1c7backed MOUZ | 48c | 104.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb027…888fbacked MOUZ | 74c | 81.62$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.15 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked MOUZ | 50c | 78.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…b6bbbacked FURIA | 66c | 78$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4566…8063backed MOUZ | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -8.7wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…aacabacked FURIA | 56c | 73.57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4863…dfa4backed MOUZ | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7db…35bdbacked FURIA | 27c | 70$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…5431backed FURIA | 70c | 68.69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 174 | 62.1%108 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked MOUZ | 46c | 68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe71f…09f2backed FURIA | 57c | 63.03$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed MOUZ | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -12.2wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…adcfbacked FURIA | 52c | 51.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 172 | 36.6%63 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked MOUZ | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed MOUZ | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed MOUZ | 73c | 43.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e98…3e80backed MOUZ | 73c | 41.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed FURIA | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…cd60backed FURIA | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f22…be14backed FURIA | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…a488backed MOUZ | 50c | 27.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54dc…58a2backed MOUZ | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed FURIA | 64c | 21.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5b…4a6dbacked FURIA | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…1b46backed FURIA | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3)MOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.