TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZof FURIA, MOUZ
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$186,714
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$219,316

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,714 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8151…beebbacked MOUZ56c18,405$10,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,079.56425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-55.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed FURIA45c13,533$6,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,089.789942.4%42 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked FURIA43c10,913$4,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,732.3983652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed MOUZ75c10,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50023852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed MOUZ55c9,594$5,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,319.9822849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed MOUZ54c7,434$3,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,439.2621645.4%98 W · 118 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed FURIA44c7,205$3,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,137.9667041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fdf…ec4bbacked FURIA65c6,991$4,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5194850%24 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed MOUZ66c6,644$4,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,274.3927345.8%125 W · 148 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed MOUZ55c5,713$3,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,571.0726344.5%117 W · 146 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed FURIA46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30016449.4%81 W · 83 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8156…27c2backed MOUZ56c4,641$2,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,061.693548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f9e…be96backed FURIA49c4,594$2,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,242.7240%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed FURIA44c4,095$1,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,801.841,08950.9%554 W · 535 L+38.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc550…353fbacked FURIA25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002729.6%8 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked FURIA38c3,833$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.5713050%65 W · 65 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked MOUZ56c3,781$2,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,663.681751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9823…02dbbacked MOUZ52c3,634$1,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,73647055.7%262 W · 208 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4fe9…706abacked MOUZ58c3,634$2,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,523.616448.2%79 W · 85 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA29c3,322$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.861,61945.5%737 W · 882 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked FURIA45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3502766.7%18 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0fd…a346backed FURIA17c2,892$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed FURIA45c2,800$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.9928248.9%138 W · 144 L+21.4wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed MOUZ60c2,502$1,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.3217249.4%85 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed FURIA27c2,370$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.538042.5%34 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98f6…79d2backed MOUZ55c2,364$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.637851.9%196 W · 182 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked FURIA45c2,200$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.9820855.3%115 W · 93 L+18.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked MOUZ55c2,168$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.9760953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8541…a367backed FURIA40c2,070$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.5428344.2%125 W · 158 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1939…22e8backed MOUZ51c2,000$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99011840.7%48 W · 70 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed FURIA28c1,788$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.71,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3402…9446backed MOUZ57c1,763$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.1610043%43 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1034…b26dbacked MOUZ57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.391747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b0…9fb0backed FURIA47c1,670$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.111650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked FURIA10c1,629$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.412153.7%65 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9975…e7e6backed MOUZ60c1,560$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.132360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x877e…b283backed FURIA31c1,477$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4646350.8%32 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked FURIA46c1,367$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.2129855%164 W · 134 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed FURIA39c1,350$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.324,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed FURIA27c1,325$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.397455.4%41 W · 33 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x953e…79ffbacked FURIA15c1,277$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.0130348.5%147 W · 156 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed FURIA45c1,200$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54024935.7%89 W · 160 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9732…0cb9backed FURIA25c1,196$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid+42.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed FURIA40c1,194$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.4297230%292 W · 680 L-23.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf94…402dbacked FURIA47c1,110$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.59540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed MOUZ55c1,068$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.6285946.1%396 W · 463 L-1.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked FURIA65c1,004$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.7724440.6%99 W · 145 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed FURIA21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21016335%57 W · 106 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed FURIA25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25024139%94 W · 147 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked FURIA44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44022056.4%124 W · 96 L+19.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed MOUZ51c976.95$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.9521251.4%109 W · 103 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4635…9f6fbacked MOUZ56c960$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.25862.1%36 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed FURIA25c919.9$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.458651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed FURIA58c800.86$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.7682143%353 W · 468 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed FURIA25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20046340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf967…8cd4backed FURIA25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed FURIA23c788.85$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.1525941.3%107 W · 152 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d87…db7abacked MOUZ55c760.6$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.72646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc9f…45debacked FURIA45c671.96$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009341.9%39 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked MOUZ56c657$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.081,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x644b…2145backed MOUZ53c644$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.6815749%77 W · 80 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed MOUZ55c629.09$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.0928453.5%152 W · 132 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked MOUZ53c624.53$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.5335550.1%178 W · 177 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed FURIA34c623.68$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.685,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed FURIA44c620.31$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.4742341.8%177 W · 246 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked FURIA49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011631.9%37 W · 79 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed MOUZ60c537$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.121139.3%83 W · 128 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed FURIA45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22528351.9%147 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8465…6bbdbacked FURIA44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2209541.1%39 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf58d…914abacked FURIA41c483.04$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009252.2%48 W · 44 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x677f…1228backed FURIA45c473.64$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21214040%56 W · 84 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed FURIA30c469.04$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.232425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb819…cc67backed MOUZ77c454.63$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.6324155.6%134 W · 107 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb4b…ab60backed MOUZ55c454.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.553357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+35.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf72…4893backed FURIA22c433.46$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947321.9%16 W · 57 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-41.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x85c8…9751backed FURIA41c418.82$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.38837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed FURIA40c417.62$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.4836554.8%200 W · 165 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4dc…0fc3backed FURIA24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed FURIA44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17664652.8%341 W · 305 L+26.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked MOUZ46c370.91$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.5126438.6%102 W · 162 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked MOUZ55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6477247.8%369 W · 403 L-22.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed FURIA46c361.04$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.0817538.3%67 W · 108 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked FURIA41c360.71$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.4584937.8%321 W · 528 L-20.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb99…5d0fbacked FURIA46c326.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8860…4708backed MOUZ55c321.75$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.792556%14 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed FURIA20c312.85$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.961,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7373…3964backed FURIA25c312.27$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0713353.4%71 W · 62 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed MOUZ59c311.49$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.7126563%167 W · 98 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7fa…44e5backed FURIA29c269.51$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.816546.2%30 W · 35 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4731…cba8backed MOUZ63c268.69$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.4710055%55 W · 45 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b33…9b98backed FURIA45c266.67$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1208050%40 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f78…b642backed MOUZ67c245$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.525044%22 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4403…4252backed MOUZ56c239.98$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.594850%24 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbff4…eaf3backed FURIA45c222$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.911428.1%32 W · 82 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-41.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x40d5…bfe9backed MOUZ56c221$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.2463445.3%287 W · 347 L-2.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb027…888fbacked FURIA42c217.7$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.463351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed MOUZ54c199.97$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.431,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x729a…1e51backed MOUZ55c196.05$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.2210252%53 W · 49 L-12.2wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-21.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6a76…2890backed MOUZ55c193.34$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.0718254.4%99 W · 83 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked FURIA51c190$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.281,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.