TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x98f6…79d2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
563
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT37752%196 W · 181 L+1.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 377 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$315.79
Will FURIA Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$79.66
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$149.35
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$306.45
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.15
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$88.1
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$74.29
Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Phantom (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 10backed EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Counter-Strike: ECHO vs OG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 9backed ECHO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$31.22
Counter-Strike: Acend vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 14backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs FOKUS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 13backed FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.69
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 16backed Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Sangal (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 16backed Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+43%+$43.04
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs 9INE (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 7backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$49.68
Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2: Will Any Player End the Event with a 1.30+ Rating?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$225.71
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$89.61
Showing 25 of 377 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT6435.9%23 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$145
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.38
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$33.39
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.43
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$89.65
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+194.1%+$388.24
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+71.4%+$28.56
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT4436.4%16 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.08
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$38.78
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$64.01
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+42.9%+$85.71
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+163.2%+$32.63
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+257.1%+$51.43
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+138.1%+$27.62
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+300%+$60
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+132.6%+$26.51
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+35.1%+$14.05
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$31.43
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$30.18
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$66.96
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$32.73
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3053.3%16 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+47.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+514.4%+$771.57
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$232.14
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$270.83
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,949Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$3,180.44
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$2,131.58
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,660Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,660
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$29.55
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$35.56
Will Estonia win on 2025-10-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Belgium win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$45.26
Will Switzerland win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Slovakia win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$70.27
Will Germany win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+36.3%+$72.5
Will Iceland win on 2025-10-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Slovakia win on 2025-10-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Switzerland win on 2025-10-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$46.67
Will Slovenia win on 2025-10-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-10-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$156.41
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+150%+$22.5
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$201.3
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$20.61
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+63.9%+$25.57
Will Osasuna win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+75.4%+$11.32
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Sevilla win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+29.9%+$4.48
Will Valencia win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Elche CF win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$25.71
Will Sevilla win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 15 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-51.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+51.5%+$51.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.