TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Elche CF win on 2025-12-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,229,653
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,249,482

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,229,653 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 737 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes47c30,000$14,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,90017248.8%84 W · 88 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No53c27,772$14,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,719.296145.9%28 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No53c24,629$13,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,076.829536.8%35 W · 60 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No52c16,036$8,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,364.8790843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed No55c13,840$7,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,611.981154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd71a…9498backed Yes46c12,892$5,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,961.68757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes47c8,849$4,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,690.059154.9%50 W · 41 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No53c8,356$4,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,455.1316740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No54c7,834$4,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,230.163360.6%20 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes45c7,223$3,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,974.2630634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No55c6,156$3,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,356.636836.8%25 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdf8…4d49backed No56c6,032$3,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,378.18520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked No56c6,000$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,36015044.7%67 W · 83 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x833c…da81backed Yes44c5,488$2,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,073.28666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes46c4,948$2,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,655.8617252.3%90 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x295d…e917backed Yes44c4,711$2,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,638.16540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed No53c4,337$2,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,298.46633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7404…e963backed Yes44c4,298$1,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,406.884100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+104.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes44c4,218$1,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,367.0621355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No54c4,000$2,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,14025648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No41c3,983$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,640.4469142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb651…7429backed Yes44c3,957$1,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,215.92540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe82…c594backed No56c3,953$2,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,213.68757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd956…007dbacked Yes44c3,876$1,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,170.56450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2efa…3dcdbacked Yes44c3,750$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,100850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d4f…1d1ebacked Yes44c3,524$1,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,973.44475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+44.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5421…4964backed No56c3,500$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,960520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes46c3,480$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,879.9128055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02a0…bc13backed No56c3,402$1,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,905.12728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes45c3,333$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.338252.4%43 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8cf…c46cbacked No56c3,315$1,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,856.4520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-52.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5828…2d4cbacked Yes44c3,308$1,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,852.48450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd44f…1270backed Yes44c3,250$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,819.99540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27a1…fa1dbacked No56c3,181$1,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,781.36540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1710…7d2bbacked Yes44c3,116$1,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,744.96560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+53.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x047e…8bbbbacked No56c3,007$1,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,683.9230%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0424…8ccdbacked Yes44c2,981$1,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,669.36580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+101.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x849b…254abacked No56c2,933$1,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,642.48616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4b5…3beabacked No56c2,917$1,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,633.52650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf528…422dbacked Yes44c2,905$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,626.83100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+132.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd0f…f83cbacked No56c2,820$1,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,579.2425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaed6…5635backed No56c2,804$1,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,570.24837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe42…2d8abacked Yes44c2,798$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,566.88862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+39.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xafcb…f2c4backed No56c2,774$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,553.44560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65cf…4034backed No56c2,770$1,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,551.2425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3011…d3c2backed No56c2,751$1,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,540.56650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6380…bbedbacked Yes44c2,741$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,534.96650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+28.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6967…af42backed Yes44c2,741$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,534.96771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+27.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab9d…cb75backed Yes44c2,738$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,533.28540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6908…2fd1backed Yes44c2,721$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,523.76560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+77.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc124…4db5backed No56c2,720$1,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,523.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-41.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc96b…3b6dbacked Yes44c2,701$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,512.56540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6895…73b7backed No56c2,698$1,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,510.88475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+77.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6551…5fc8backed Yes44c2,609$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,461.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed88…da69backed No56c2,608$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460.48520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd00e…e8b0backed No56c2,585$1,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,447.6837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No54c2,555$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.638957.3%51 W · 38 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x935d…30b8backed No56c2,550$1,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,428911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.8wins-0.42per pick53cpaid-86.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x30ec…b026backed Yes44c2,549$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,427.44560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+53.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa541…ec2bbacked No56c2,547$1,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,426.32425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x697d…3afcbacked Yes44c2,544$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.64580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+110.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x341b…d307backed Yes44c2,505$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+47%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71ad…c321backed No56c2,489$1,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,393.84728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x88ca…e309backed Yes44c2,483$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,390.48633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-34.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x72e4…b1dbbacked Yes44c2,445$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,369.2850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd72…e47cbacked No56c2,442$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,367.52633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee24…7013backed Yes44c2,435$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,363.6475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick55cpaid+58%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No53c2,428$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,278.23345.5%15 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1fe0…9730backed Yes44c2,420$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,355.2580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+63.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3607…c929backed No56c2,399$1,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,343.4440%0 W · 4 L-2.5wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x302d…feadbacked No56c2,388$1,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,337.28425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e11…53cebacked Yes44c2,374$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick39cpaid+165.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc62…d54abacked Yes44c2,361$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.16475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+92.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bd6…4995backed Yes44c2,355$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,318.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+55.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d42…f9dcbacked No56c2,326$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,302.56650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+27%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc114…7627backed Yes44c2,321$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.76560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+27.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7585…78fdbacked No56c2,289$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.84757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7812…268dbacked No56c2,288$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.28520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-52.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfac0…a75abacked No56c2,276$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,274.56450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+48.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ae…cb6cbacked Yes44c2,261$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.16560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+50.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2127…6b85backed No56c2,247$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,258.32560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3a3…e926backed No56c2,241$1,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.96540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c5…bf0fbacked No56c2,230$1,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,248.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+41.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe73f…ad3cbacked No56c2,227$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.12520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-52.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x03bc…6c40backed Yes44c2,226$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.56580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+97.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5741…61f1backed Yes44c2,218$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.08540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0319…d442backed Yes44c2,190$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc432…d926backed No56c2,186$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.16728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick58cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6533…6050backed No56c2,133$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.48633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda98…c879backed Yes44c2,125$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick48cpaid+87.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51bd…4f72backed No56c2,078$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.68580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+89.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f3b…3f44backed Yes44c2,064$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,155.84540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f23…9a8dbacked Yes44c2,061$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.16955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x472a…512ebacked Yes44c2,058$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.48580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+110.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6af6…1056backed No56c2,056$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.36520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bf2…3ca4backed No56c2,051$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.5640%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x43bf…2fb7backed No56c2,047$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.32450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+35.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a06…ecc5backed Yes44c2,046$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.76742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f39…1601backed Yes44c2,046$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.76862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42e2…ae1fbacked Yes44c2,033$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.48850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.