La Liga · resolved market
Will Elche CF vs. Girona end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7c4c32db228be9bb68205eb6352054e140c36e7f12b45c4ebfc6cd593b24b7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,019
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd54…b245backed No | 71c | 5,555$3,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 5,313$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.65 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…c149backed No | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a0…92f9backed Yes | 25c | 1,695$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 28c | 1,300$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 72c | 1,283$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.36 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 72c | 1,018$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 75c | 935$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.75 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Yes | 34c | 642.79$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8276…1204backed No | 72c | 561.11$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.11 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 28c | 374.01$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.25 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 30c | 365.67$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.7 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb604…b046backed Yes | 28c | 363.17$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 28c | 361.56$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.24 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 69c | 339.18$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.98 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 72c | 337.5$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 69cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 29c | 337$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.01 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…590fbacked No | 70c | 325.71$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.71 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 73c | 226.53$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.6 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 79c | 225.71$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.91 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 79c | 221.22$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.35 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 28c | 200.39$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.11 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed No | 66c | 200$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 28c | 143$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d4…770ebacked Yes | 30c | 135.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes | 29c | 126.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 29c | 110.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 94.57$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 29c | 90$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed No | 70c | 88$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +6.9wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 30c | 85.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Yes | 30c | 76.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Yes | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 74.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ba…b841backed No | 72c | 72.22$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…3e73backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 75c | 60.27$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 31c | 56.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 75c | 52.53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 75c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…9f48backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed9…bbd3backed No | 69c | 47.64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 78c | 47.63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…fbb3backed No | 72c | 47.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 72c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 66c | 36.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked No | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 191 | 55%105 W · 86 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 70c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed No | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadd2…350cbacked No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 309 | 56%173 W · 136 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed No | 72c | 24.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked No | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed No | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a9f7backed No | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…f988backed No | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elche CF vs. Girona end in a draw?this page
- Will Elche CF win on 2025-12-07?Yes won
- Will Girona win on 2025-12-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.