TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xadd2…350c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
206
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST3438.2%13 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+127.3%+$56
Blues vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+92.3%+$48
Sharks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$16.63
Ducks vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+79.3%+$53.52
Senators vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20.84
Golden Knights vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$41.7
Lightning vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Kings vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+138.1%+$58
Panthers vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$75.17
Red Wings vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$32.97
Sabres vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$65.41
Ducks vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$77.78
Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanesbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$14.58
Devils vs. Senatorsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+130.8%+$84.98
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$51.05
Wild vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10.91
Sabres vs. Flamesbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Blackhawks vs. Ducksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$27.35
Blue Jackets vs. Capitalsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$18.33
Penguins vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+63.3%+$10.9
Sharks vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$37
Islanders vs. Panthersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.11
Avalanche vs. Flyersbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+68.2%+$39.3
Canadiens vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$13.32
Avalanche vs. Rangersbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+61.3%+$9.26
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST3135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+48.4%+$41.03
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$30.7
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$38.63
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$76.4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$42.94
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+25.7%+$25.94
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+76.1%+$43.2
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$40.76
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+209.6%+$102.95
Will FC København win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+614.3%+$86
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$40.93
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+47.1%+$48
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$87.18
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$77.36
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+35.1%+$26
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15.2
Will FC Barcelona vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+93.5%+$39.97
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+38.5%+$8.4
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+107.4%+$25.9
Will AS Monaco FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+257.1%+$72
Will PSV win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$32.4
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST2171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolves vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+28.9%+$11.09
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+70.7%+$10.36
Will Fulham win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+60%+$15.77
Will Fulham vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+42.9%+$15
Will Newcastle win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+32.7%+$6.17
Will Leeds United vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$18.75
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+109.8%+$13.08
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+35.1%+$6.5
Will Everton win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+122.2%+$13.75
Will Everton vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+42.9%+$4.8
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+42.9%+$6.74
Will Preston North End FC win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+72.4%+$10.5
Will Southampton FC vs. Birmingham City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+37.9%+$4.69
Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+46%+$4.73
Will Bristol City FC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$11.25
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$28.73
Will Aston Villa vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$19.26
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$25.21
Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-12-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+49.3%+$8.25
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-12-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$14.25
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST2050%10 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+38.9%+$28
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+29.5%+$33.04
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+192.9%+$49.93
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+295.5%+$74.71
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$108.33
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$65.61
Heat vs. Magicbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$37.69
Thunder vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$17.21
Lakers vs. 76ersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+65.8%+$17.82
Warriors vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$35.31
Nuggets vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$12.54
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$22.21
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+70.5%+$16.11
Kings vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$35.4
Warriors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$16.36
Hawks vs. Wizardsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+28.7%+$4.97
Pelicans vs. Netsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$18.16
76ers vs. Bucksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+91.9%+$22.61
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+116.2%+$13.43
Spurs vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+64.1%+$9.76
All 20 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST1861.1%11 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alanyaspor win on 2025-12-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+130.2%+$70.13
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2025-12-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+201%+$40.06
Will Göztepe SK vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+40.2%+$12.9
Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$13.51
Will Aarhus GF win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Kocaelispor vs. Kasımpaşa SK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$21.92
Will Kocaelispor win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+126.3%+$16.74
Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.25
Will AZ win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$16.75
Will Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+42.9%+$7.5
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$21.26
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+33.4%+$9.75
Will Kayserispor win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+34.2%+$6.38
Will Eyüpspor win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+96.1%+$12.25
Will FC Groningen win on 2025-12-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$17.2
Will Odense BK win on 2025-12-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$12.72
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Samsunspor end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.25
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+54.2%+$8.6
All 18 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1540%6 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-36.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.92
Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$14.75
Will Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Holstein Kiel end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$18.75
Will Holstein Kiel win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+61.3%+$9.5
Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+85.2%+$11.5
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$11.13
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+95.3%+$12.2
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$19.45
Will FC Augsburg vs. Bayer Leverkusen end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.25
Will FC Augsburg win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$28.18
Will VfL Bochum win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$23.2
Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$13.25
Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+44.9%+$7.75
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-12-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$17.39
Will FSV Mainz 05 vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7
All 15 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST1266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$56
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+339.6%+$57.94
Will Espanyol win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$44.1
Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+42.9%+$7.5
Will Espanyol vs. Rayo Vallecano end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+40.8%+$12.58
Will Valencia vs. Sevilla end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Valencia win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+86.9%+$11.63
Will Elche CF vs. Girona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7
Will Elche CF win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$27.71
Will Athletic Club vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+42.9%+$7.5
Will Real Betis vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.5
Will Mallorca win on 2025-12-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+47.1%+$8
All 12 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Botafogo FR win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$27.63
Will SC Internacional win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+75.4%+$12.9
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$17.21
Will Santos FC win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+41.1%+$11.81
Will EC Vitória win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+143.9%+$29.5
Will Ceará SC win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+73.3%+$8.4
Will Fluminense FC win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$30.83
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.86
Will CA Mineiro win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$17.12
Will Mirassol FC win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+101.7%+$10.54
Will Mirassol FC vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$12.01
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+212.5%+$135.68
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$13.83
LAR vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$12.77
Bears vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+37.4%+$4.41
Broncos vs. Raidersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+27.7%+$8.09
Bengals vs. Billsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$27.8
Titans vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50.69
Colts vs. Jaguarsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$27.33
Dolphins vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.75
Commanders vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+106%+$15.78
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$23.5
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+46.1%+$13.13
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FaZe (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+66.7%+$9.19
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$14.58
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Imperial (BO3)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+87.2%+$13.52
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+42.2%+$8.91
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Liquid (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$15.12
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+110.5%+$13.12
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO1)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.18
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.32per pick61cpaid-62%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+203%+$251.25
Harmonix FDV above $25M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$43.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will XRP reach $2.10 December 22-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$13.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami (OH) vs. Western Michiganbacked Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$14.05
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.