Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd498fa62567030e3c52d4501d22441109c8c297d6cc6d05e396facc38db1af6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $543,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $554,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $543,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 484 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 42c | 80,000$33,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,599.94 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes | 58c | 77,586$45,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,586.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 56c | 66,077$37,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,908.94 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 44c | 49,476$21,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,746.09 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb84…08a9backed Yes | 59c | 32,906$19,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,526.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 44c | 27,164$11,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,969.8 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -62%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Yes | 56c | 27,005$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,004.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 44c | 20,360$8,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,958.33 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,800 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 43c | 19,867$8,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,626.18 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4a…4ef5backed No | 44c | 17,891$7,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,871.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 41c | 17,379$7,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,195.64 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 30c | 16,341$4,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,864.09 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed No | 45c | 15,280$6,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,849.42 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 45c | 15,182$6,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,850.51 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 67c | 13,322$8,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,389.99 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 57c | 11,145$6,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,823.41 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 42c | 10,301$4,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,339.81 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes | 56c | 6,446$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,845.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Yes | 71c | 5,210$3,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.14 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Yes | 50c | 5,008$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,507.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 41c | 4,585$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876.99 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ef…cecebacked Yes | 57c | 3,481$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 22c | 3,289$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.41 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 44c | 3,182$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.88 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 56c | 3,054$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.85 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 42c | 2,927$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.54 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Yes | 58c | 2,493$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.83 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 40c | 2,361$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.48 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785c…affebacked Yes | 57c | 2,137$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef45…1905backed Yes | 57c | 2,105$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 42c | 2,078$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.68 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 56c | 2,005$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.3 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Yes | 57c | 2,001$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed No | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes | 76c | 1,800$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Yes | 52c | 1,700$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 46c | 1,672$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.96 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 57c | 1,397$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.49 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 11c | 1,389$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.75 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Yes | 58c | 1,379$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204b…a4eebacked Yes | 65c | 1,377$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83fb…97cfbacked Yes | 57c | 1,291$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 31c | 1,250$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.83 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…2585backed Yes | 57c | 1,180$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.4 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 40c | 1,114$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.6 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 55c | 1,112$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.27 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Yes | 63c | 1,017$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.49 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e85…1f81backed Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 71c | 983.5$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.97 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked No | 11c | 900$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 44c | 898$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.56 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed No | 40c | 890.57$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 45c | 888$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.6 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Yes | 57c | 880.7$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Yes | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes | 49c | 817.39$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.39 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…1478backed Yes | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 57c | 800$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 57c | 792.61$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.61 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 54c | 702.99$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.62 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 57c | 696.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.23 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 53c | 673.11$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.11 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked No | 43c | 661.98$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.65 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 57c | 659$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.37 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 44c | 656.61$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.7 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5344…c194backed Yes | 54c | 650.88$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56da…fca2backed Yes | 57c | 640.35$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.35 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda50…2a41backed Yes | 55c | 636.36$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +60%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…63e6backed Yes | 55c | 636.27$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.32 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed No | 12c | 628$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.52 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes | 54c | 610.98$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.21 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes | 66c | 610.62$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 43c | 605.81$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.89 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…2492backed No | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34f3…48e4backed Yes | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0469…2f00backed No | 70c | 579.73$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 43c | 562$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.28 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 38c | 553.52$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.84 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…b5c3backed Yes | 54c | 546.3$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…5da0backed Yes | 57c | 531.58$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.58 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Yes | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Yes | 77c | 520.71$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.76 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 54c | 518.52$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.52 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes | 55c | 501.86$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.84 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +5.7wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +43%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Yes | 55c | 500$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 44c | 500$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 42c | 499.98$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed No | 42c | 499.94$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.97 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea61…cc32backed Yes | 55c | 450$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…8cd3backed Yes | 79c | 445.24$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.86 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 60c | 443.42$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.42 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-11?this page
- Will FC Basel 1893 vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Basel 1893 win on 2025-12-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.