TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x56da…fca2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
214
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 60 out of 100; worst Tweets at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST3020%6 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-53.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tweets — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$32.54
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+117.9%+$27.05
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15.3
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+43.7%+$44.4
Will Elon Musk post 110-119 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$55.58
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.39
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$18.43
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$25.27
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$14.75
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$21.06
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$48.6
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$18.87
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+181.7%+$35.48
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$16.86
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$11.7
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$14.83
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$11.36
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$17.11
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$12.48
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20.2
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$67
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+379.8%+$403.69
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT2544%11 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on March 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+57%+$15.02
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$9.86
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11.33
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$51.12
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+163.2%+$20.46
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$29.26
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 30-31°F on March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.8
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.25
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on February 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$913Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$912.53
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 36-37°F on February 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$547Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$547.02
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on February 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+47.1%+$61.99
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 30-31°F on February 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$23.6
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 30-31°F on February 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$852Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+51.1%+$435.38
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 26-27°F on February 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$45.25
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 50-51°F on February 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+62.3%+$22.54
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$21.5
Will it Snow in Seattle this December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.03
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on December 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$181.29
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 48°F or higher on December 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$45.92
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on December 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$114
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on December 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+177.8%+$41.6
Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on December 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 33-34°F on December 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$46.76
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -4°C on December 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+614.3%+$86
All 25 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST2218.2%4 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-73.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Olympics — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$4,512Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$4,512.41
Will Germany win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$97.83
Will France win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50.68
Will Norway win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$130.82
Will Netherlands win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$439.83
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$6,777Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+38.3%+$2,594.49
Will France win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$193.01
Will Germany win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$122.52
Will the United States win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$107.08
Will Netherlands win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$838Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$838.2
Will Italy win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$8,963Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+45.7%+$4,097.12
Will Canada win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$54.38
Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$145.37
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$56.61
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$874Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$873.96
Will Spain record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$116.24
Will Switzerland win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$173.12
Will Great Britain win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$31.4
Will Laura Nolte (GER) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Bobsled - 2 Woman (Driver) at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+38.9%+$55.72
Will Switzerland win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$138.04
Will Paula Moltzan (USA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Alpine - Women's Slalom at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Mikaela Shiffrin (USA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Alpine - Women's Slalom at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,524Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+56%+$1,412.47
All 22 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.6
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+122%+$160.47
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+400%+$220
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+257.1%+$87.84
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+196.2%+$271.23
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+376.2%+$92.9
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.15
Will Israel strike 2 countries in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$46.53
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$53.24
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36.3
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$46.39
Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$139.05
Will Donald Trump say "phase two" or "second phase" during Israel President events on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+186.2%+$33.83
Will Donald Trump say "pardon" during Israel President events on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+54.8%+$55.06
Will Donald Trump say "hell" during Israel President events on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$10.32
US strike on Syria by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$53.31
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+64.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$73.67
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$42.9
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$51
Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.82
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$49.89
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Sweden?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.61
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$26.86
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$53.67
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$88.12
Will Senegal win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+31.6%+$16.11
Will Uganda win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+33.3%+$12.25
Will Kosovo vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+244.8%+$61.21
Will Switzerland win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$60
All 14 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+158.6%+$67.45
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+44.1%+$47.86
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$343.4
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+104.1%+$17.11
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$578Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+206.7%+$1,194.32
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$13.6
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+170.3%+$48.51
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$17.21
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$37.82
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+221.4%+$55.54
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$28.49
Will Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$98.41
All 13 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+31.1%+$49.8
GPT-5.3 released by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.83
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+1,023.6%+$182.17
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$15.55
Will Sam Altman say "OpenAI" 4+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$22.4
Will Sam Altman say "Trump" or "Election" on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$19.6
Will Sam Altman say "Car" or "Tesla" on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$13.05
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$92
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek Chat V3.1 win the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$16.6
All 13 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-52.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Sion win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$49.6
Will FC Basel 1893 win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+40.8%+$58.82
Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)backed Olympique Lyonnais · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+75.4%+$275.35
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$28.4
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$125
Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)backed Lille OSC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will FC Lausanne-Sport win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$66.65
Will FC Basel 1893 win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+53.8%+$8.08
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$125
Will FC Basel vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.74
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-35%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.35
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$339.53
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+115.6%+$61.74
Will Zelenskyy meet with Netanyahu in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$9.18
Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 6–10 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Donald Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+30.6%+$11.26
Will Donald Trump say "eighth war" or "eight wars" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+42.2%+$64.75
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$79.04
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+132.6%+$66.28
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+69.5%+$30.75
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+92.3%+$13.85
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$92
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Liverpool FC (-0.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.96
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$46.64
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+30.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.18
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$5
Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+39%+$16.61
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$41.35
Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during Mamdani events on November 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+56.3%+$10.8
Will Trump say "Grocery" during Mamdani events on November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+296.2%+$186.9
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Trump say "Tariff" 7+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$22.91
All 8 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+295.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-56%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+150.5%+$36.12
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+177.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elche CF vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+455.6%+$227.78
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+133.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Last Christmas - Wham! be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+133.5%+$76.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win Staten Island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+35.1%+$26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Torino FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$24.05
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.