TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$300,027
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$269,343

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $300,027 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf11…8399backed Yes35c23,560$8,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,206.91625%4 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-52.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x85b8…6b6abacked No65c20,191$13,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,068.4911547%54 W · 61 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes14c16,463$2,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,283.228622.1%19 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c13,446$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.763766.9%26 W · 350 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-67.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed No78c9,950$7,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,190.812246.7%57 W · 65 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd829…95f9backed Yes3c9,500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0c1…8a69backed Yes5c7,053$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.4560%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x06dd…af8bbacked Yes9c6,684$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.352045%9 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+30.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed Yes11c6,248$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.234134.1%14 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd347…5205backed Yes20c5,440$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.233716.2%6 W · 31 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-69%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc454…19d6backed Yes3c4,503$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.1130%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes4c4,180$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.22429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-58.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No77c3,844$2,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.2212353.7%66 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd9e…49b3backed Yes3c3,729$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.298529.4%25 W · 60 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Yes9c3,489$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300130%0 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x613e…cb44backed Yes5c3,085$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15070%0 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc52c…6732backed Yes5c3,008$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14930%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes26c3,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7805337.7%20 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-37%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x200e…7d37backed Yes9c2,913$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5950…8c48backed Yes12c2,761$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.281323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick16cpaid-10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e60…b440backed Yes2c2,700$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.512419.4%24 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bab…a871backed Yes4c2,647$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe275…f1eebacked Yes27c2,631$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2832…8bb6backed Yes8c2,450$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked No77c2,298$1,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.944100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes4c2,292$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002321.7%5 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdadb…59c0backed Yes5c2,048$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes32c2,022$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.936732.8%22 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x332a…c9a2backed Yes6c2,000$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1127715.6%12 W · 65 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-45.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf460…c31fbacked Yes37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa019…c220backed Yes1c2,000$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224136.6%15 W · 26 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x508d…876abacked Yes8c1,831$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+100.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes6c1,709$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.97166.3%1 W · 15 L-4.9wins-0.31per pick37cpaid-90.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2390…7f3ebacked Yes6c1,572$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.05955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x400b…6764backed Yes1c1,500$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick11cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed No77c1,437$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.591353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d48…66abbacked Yes12c1,417$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1702450%12 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes3c1,373$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.31333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-53.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes7c1,359$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick22cpaid-53.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4af2…4a6fbacked Yes3c1,322$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.322010%2 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77ad…ba8abacked Yes32c1,115$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.221435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed Yes8c1,113$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.065028%14 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-34.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcc1…983abacked Yes10c1,100$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d68…f0bebacked Yes5c1,096$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick21cpaid-75.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2a4…a6e0backed Yes6c1,093$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9940%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1334…3c35backed Yes23c1,088$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25040%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ade…bb46backed Yes14c1,009$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.430%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3665…0212backed Yes25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes12c916$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.337028.6%20 W · 50 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-54.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f1c…a94dbacked Yes44c900$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3961540%6 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ad…a634backed Yes2c875.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes2c871.92$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.12133.3%7 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30e7…7da3backed Yes25c841.79$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-57%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6425…62bebacked Yes2c820$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick8cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0888…ee9abacked Yes10c809.83$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec73…303fbacked Yes16c796.85$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.33450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4fc…a861backed Yes38c789.12$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.97728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd28…2aefbacked Yes4c775.7$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.04425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+53.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a86…927ebacked Yes26c749.99$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+77.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c5b…adc9backed Yes4c736.97$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9eb7…31eabacked Yes3c668.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Yes20c636.51$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.99728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-59.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19ff…d0d0backed Yes6c634.12$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5937…11dabacked Yes8c618.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4caf…6de9backed Yes8c595.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503534.3%12 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-14.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2066…7841backed Yes25c580$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x968d…e3b6backed Yes3c575.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155714%8 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d27…bb85backed Yes4c572.63$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3a…9e14backed Yes22c540$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.8812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick26cpaid-80.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dce…b2acbacked Yes11c538.04$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.051225%3 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-42%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e7…039fbacked Yes4c526.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick22cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ad…578fbacked Yes36c521.65$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.371428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-40.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c16…4085backed Yes7c520$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2430%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0abf…16f1backed Yes4c511.89$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02f3…bb98backed Yes2c510$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.641040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc08…2f6bbacked Yes28c507.22$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.71513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-37%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cf4…20b3backed Yes17c502.97$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.42250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-30.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b6…c8d0backed Yes2c501.77$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7840%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6db2…78c8backed Yes2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked No77c500$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed No77c500$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf51…08c8backed Yes3c472.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ad…b1bbbacked Yes28c466.79$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.7520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d39…0b54backed Yes38c463.16$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2be…df16backed Yes38c457.89$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x45e8…cc6cbacked Yes12c448.16$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.823259.4%19 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e82…8b1abacked Yes4c440.51$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4740%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4b…b6c3backed Yes36c432.86$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-52.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7b…a8a5backed Yes9c431.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20a9…2569backed Yes18c427.55$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.291631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-57.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes14c426.74$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.627233.3%24 W · 48 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6781…df08backed Yes5c413.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-63.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e5b…5030backed Yes36c400.87$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.52560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+73%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e7d…eedcbacked Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid-18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2263…4e26backed Yes38c399.53$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18d…b356backed Yes38c397.37$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31a6…1528backed Yes20c365$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4940%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f5e…ddaabacked Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44e6…ed44backed Yes38c352.63$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.