TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7cf4…20b3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
352
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Music, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Music at 55 out of 100; worst UFC at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT11653.4%62 W · 54 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 116 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.37
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$38.96
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$13.34
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10.62
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.99
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.5
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+118.5%+$249.97
LoL: GIANTX vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+47%+$126.59
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.54
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$58.14
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$186.72
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$28.4
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+60.5%+$111.98
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+133.3%+$105.42
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.32
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+113.6%+$22.73
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.57
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$10.36
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$619.93
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.6
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.64
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$707Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$707.4
LoL: Gen.G vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$449Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+69.4%+$311.51
Showing 25 of 116 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT10748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 107 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$393.33
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$417.74
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+105.5%+$211
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.4
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.12
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.83
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 3 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$484.26
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$778Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+82.6%+$643.22
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,715Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,714.82
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,015Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+84%+$1,692.19
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,168Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+79.7%+$930.95
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$69.51
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs illwill (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Playoffsbacked illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+132.1%+$462.82
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GenOne (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$654Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$653.64
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+78.6%+$184.8
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs megoshort - Map 2 Winnerbacked megoshort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$565Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$564.73
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs MANA eSports (BO3)backed MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$946Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+41.4%+$391.82
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Team Nemesis (BO3)backed Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+38.3%+$80.84
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+40.8%+$121.39
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$260.01
Counter-Strike: paiN vs 3DMAX (BO1)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$190.17
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO1)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$248.62
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+63.9%+$257.5
Showing 25 of 107 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT5151%26 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Katerina Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$336.3
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Luciano Darderibacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$171.28
Roland Garros ATP: Facundo Acosta vs Learner Tienbacked Facundo Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Tomas Machacbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$54.02
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Katie Boulter vs Eva Lysbacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.73
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Rebeka Masarovabacked Oksana Selekhmeteva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.69
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lilli Tagger vs Maria Sakkaribacked Maria Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+115.7%+$314.89
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Laura Siegemund vs Sara Bejlekbacked Laura Siegemund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$117.38
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Alexander Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$76.84
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marco Trungelliti vs Zachary Svajdabacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+168.6%+$416.26
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$361.52
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$178.29
Set 1 Winner: Wang vs Anisimovabacked Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$58.83
Australian Open Women's: Xinyu Wang vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Australian Open Women's: Naomi Osaka vs Antonia Ruzicbacked Ruzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$43.51
Australian Open Men's: Hubert Hurkacz vs Zizou Bergsbacked Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$109.65
Australian Open Men's: Dane Sweeny vs Gael Monfilsbacked Sweeny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+37%+$29.88
Next Gen ATP Finals, Final Stage: Learner Tien vs Alexander Blockxbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,291Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+56.3%+$726.23
Will Italy win the 2025 Davis Cup Finalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+33.3%+$250
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,929Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$2,928.56
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Alcaraz (+1.5)backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$834Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$834.14
Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$975Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$974.94
Sinner vs. Minaur: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$626Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+33.1%+$206.8
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,715Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$3,714.93
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT3534.3%12 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
UFC — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 327: Patricio Pitbull vs. Aaron Pico (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Patricio Pitbull · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,634Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,634.27
UFC 327: Kevin Holland vs. Randy Brown (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Kevin Holland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$211.09
UFC 327: Tatiana Suarez vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims)backed Tatiana Suarez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$956Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+68%+$650.36
UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims)backed Francisco Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.61
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.27
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Amosov (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Magny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$98.96
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,728Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+34.1%+$589.91
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Menifield (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Oezdemir · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+51.5%+$515.15
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Orolbai (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Hermansson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$356.63
UFC Fight Night: Cortes-Acosta vs. Gaziev (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Cortes-Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$458Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+63.9%+$292.5
UFC Fight Night: Horiguchi vs. Ulanbekov (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Horiguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+235%+$327.67
UFC Fight Night: Dalby vs. Izagakhmaev (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Dalby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+304.6%+$705.04
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Almabayev (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Perez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$154.85
UFC Fight Night: Topuria vs. Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Almakhan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$343.76
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$200
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+65.1%+$233.3
UFC 322: Brady vs. Morales (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$900
UFC 322: Edwards vs. Prates (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Edwards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,696Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$1,695.52
UFC 322: Dariush vs. Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Dariush · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$720
UFC 322: Vieira vs. Nickal (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Vieira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$280
UFC 322: Kopylov vs. Rodrigues (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Rodrigues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+58.7%+$197.68
UFC 322: Cortez vs. Blanchfield (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Blanchfield · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,853Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+58.8%+$1,089.35
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$240
UFC 322: Mariscal vs. Sabatini (Featherweight, Early Prelims)backed Mariscal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$272
UFC 322: Hill vs. Kline (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims)backed Hill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$272.37
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,794Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+36.8%+$1,397.13
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,338Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+68.9%+$922.63
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$918Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+131.6%+$1,207.82
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,571Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$1,571.41
Magic vs. Warriorsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$663Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$662.54
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$400.12
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+63.5%+$444.81
Trail Blazers vs. Kingsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$774Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+36.5%+$282.4
Magic vs. Jazzbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$606Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+31.6%+$191.49
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$520.28
Heat vs. 76ersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$990Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+40.8%+$404.21
Pelicans vs. Mavericksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$85.37
Nets vs. Celticsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+81.8%+$38.45
76ers vs. Bucksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+66.7%+$147.44
Knicks vs. Mavericksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+40.8%+$23.01
Warriors vs. Heatbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$437.57
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.98
Monaco vs. Real Madridbacked Monaco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,629Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+56.1%+$913.37
Partizan vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,132Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+149.3%+$1,689.89
BC Dubai vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$554.99
All 4 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick70cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+171.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-30.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$101.38
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$140.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Zero Tenacity (BO3)backed Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$878Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$878.37
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$301.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+160.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+160.1%+$23.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+135.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+135.4%+$35.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Macarthur FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,623Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+94.5%+$1,534.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$644Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+30%+$193.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+29.9%+$119.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+28.2%+$102.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Angola win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$700
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.