TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$199,657
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$222,302

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,657 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8b32…5950backed No44c13,477$5,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,921.0614356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No1c11,022$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.823766.9%26 W · 350 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-67.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed No8c8,412$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.395028%14 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-34.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34b7…963abacked Yes68c7,185$4,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,315.35475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed No39c5,999$2,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,368.0312246.7%57 W · 65 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd347…5205backed Yes49c5,514$2,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,821.063716.2%6 W · 31 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-69%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x85b8…6b6abacked No33c4,964$1,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,638.1211547%54 W · 61 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed No23c4,354$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.141625%4 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-52.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8acf…22e4backed Yes70c4,261$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc42…8e99backed Yes70c4,086$2,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.7955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed Yes71c3,521$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.122268.2%15 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick72cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No28c3,518$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.8921337.6%80 W · 133 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yes74c3,474$2,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.992360.9%14 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes61c2,931$1,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,155.476732.8%22 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed No33c2,463$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.853619.4%7 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe275…f1eebacked Yes43c2,338$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,338.26333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…45eebacked Yes70c2,143$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.861758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes71c1,913$1,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.66333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-53.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4b0…8b95backed No30c1,850$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No46c1,765$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.24944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No43c1,545$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.9814458.3%84 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb97…7b2bbacked Yes43c1,499$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a87…8cb7backed Yes62c1,393$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe786…b716backed Yes73c1,369$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.7683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+74.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No32c1,208$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.815759.6%34 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No14c1,091$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.428622.1%19 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No17c1,053$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.767028.6%20 W · 50 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-54.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6628…ad47backed No17c1,002$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-45.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Yes42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+27.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0c…3bf9backed Yes72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Yes71c999.99$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-51.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed No28c999.94$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cf4…20b3backed Yes72c987.56$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.57250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-30.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5bf…7851backed No52c971.15$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c1e…0cd2backed No32c948.16$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.842828.6%8 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick23cpaid-5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1c…a94dbacked Yes34c900$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5941540%6 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Yes69c800$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.41838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick31cpaid-16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x45e8…cc6cbacked Yes70c800$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2403259.4%19 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe411…04c5backed No28c765.72$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.43348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ad9…65d7backed No59c708.27$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.88520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes74c703.32$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.496051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe876…7346backed No66c698.68$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb861…27ffbacked No29c665.52$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e9f…91dbbacked Yes54c662.56$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.673828.9%11 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-27.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86f8…b0f3backed No31c645.48$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No56c578.78$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.912353.7%66 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe23…937bbacked Yes68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1602100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick66cpaid+52.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6af…e12fbacked No29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1454134.1%14 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5c…48f9backed No40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No21c490.18$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.771442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes66c489.02$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.842429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-58.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8ab…ac7cbacked Yes43c462.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.971154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.25per pick29cpaid+64.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9514…0dd6backed Yes70c457.14$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.14250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed No48c450$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.844134.1%14 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a86…927ebacked Yes42c446$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.68560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+77.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Yes72c441.46$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.0810051%51 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e60…b440backed No24c441.45$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9312419.4%24 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9b6…8745backed No25c409.96$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x778d…3130backed No29c400.79$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.55250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ced…c09cbacked Yes37c400$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2521822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d1e…31b6backed No30c352.3$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b5…f72cbacked Yes73c343.53$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.532425%6 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3eb…376cbacked Yes79c340$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702955.2%16 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2a4…a6e0backed No3c339.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.240%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83c5…0299backed Yes63c328$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.27540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-43%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbf…f1a1backed Yes70c324.79$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked Yes80c319.91$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.743167.7%21 W · 10 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes69c310$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.11464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No27c300$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827133.8%24 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3a…9e14backed No34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick26cpaid-80.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x88ff…fa1bbacked Yes65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa019…c220backed No9c300$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274136.6%15 W · 26 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbee0…aa9fbacked Yes69c299.99$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeec5…f5ffbacked No31c292.71$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6980%0 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61f1…f11ebacked Yes35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.712339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ad…1538backed No14c285.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4fc…a861backed Yes35c280$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x612f…aa53backed Yes31c250$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.54047.5%19 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick36cpaid-2.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x61e1…adf1backed No30c250$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-51.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fc0…d42fbacked Yes59c243.95$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.461435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9196…c311backed No33c241.7$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804827.1%13 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x805a…0635backed No29c240.63$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7815932.7%52 W · 107 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-25.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x720a…bbebbacked Yes71c239.77$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.951266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82b9…f0b0backed No19c235.06$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a11…ee9bbacked Yes68c230$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.61442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88bf…40aabacked Yes46c219.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+119.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e57…e535backed Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.391258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes77c216.88$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.884040%16 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddf7…d6a5backed No16c210.53$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.73825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-46.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa18e…d05fbacked Yes48c208.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.842055%11 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7415…fae8backed No31c200.32$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-41.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked No33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643040%12 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No60c196.97$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.367659.2%45 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes29c190$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.91136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed No35c170.25$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed No68c167.46$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.1312646.8%59 W · 67 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+35.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7dc2…8c7fbacked Yes72c166.67$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.671241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8250…ddd0backed No30c166.32$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc139…2008backed No31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.