F1 · resolved market
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0df97c7dd62ed8fdbc8dd194101e0df6335803bfaefb49aa612f56a0899be5cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 17,336$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.14 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…f0b8backed Yes | 3c | 4,449$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.26 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…f1eebacked Yes | 6c | 3,195$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa988…ed6fbacked Yes | 4c | 2,590$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 4c | 2,359$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.56 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fc…a861backed Yes | 4c | 2,000$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaadd…5f21backed Yes | 6c | 1,781$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes | 2c | 1,640$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 1c | 1,059$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed Yes | 5c | 700$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 2c | 700$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 64 | 10.9%7 W · 57 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 4c | 570.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c8…e4f7backed Yes | 4c | 443.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6781…df08backed Yes | 5c | 381.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34b0…9017backed Yes | 5c | 370.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa221…5b1fbacked Yes | 5c | 364.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…9675backed Yes | 5c | 326.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc6…1d1cbacked Yes | 4c | 301.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e61…b71bbacked Yes | 7c | 266.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c72…a042backed Yes | 4c | 227.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -54%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 13c | 123$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Alexander Albon win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Carlos Sainz Jr. win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Esteban Ocon win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Nico Hulkenberg win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oliver Bearman win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.