TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa7c8…e4f7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
219
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Macro Indicators, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Macro Indicators at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT13554.8%74 W · 61 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 135 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.4
Wimbledon ATP: Marton Fucsovics vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Wimbledon WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Daria Snigurbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.5
Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Toby Samuelbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.5
Wimbledon ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.5
Wimbledon ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullinbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanubacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$19
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Ealabacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$17
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Antonia Ruzicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13
Stuttgart Open: Gauthier Onclin vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.3
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Mananchaya Sawangkaewbacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.5
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.5
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$65.99
Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensikbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.5
Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.5
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.89
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
Showing 25 of 135 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-27.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$145
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+25.2%+$20.1
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+216.6%+$192.82
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$60.01
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+100%+$100
Will Oscar Piastri win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+60.5%+$56.64
Will Max Verstappen win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+58.7%+$37
Will Lando Norris achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$18.17
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+40.3%+$181.44
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
All 17 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-36%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ceará SC win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+143.9%+$590
Will Grêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$316.16
Will Fluminense FC win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$803Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+86.9%+$697.5
Will Mirassol FC win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$46.5
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$44
Will Fluminense FC vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Will EC Bahia vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Ceará SC win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+45.1%+$15.55
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick70cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$9.85
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$380
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+44.3%+$144
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$385
Will West Ham United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+35.1%+$260
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$800
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-01-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,424Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+30.4%+$736
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$263.14
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+33.3%+$250
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-61.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$61
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$286
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,980Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+26.3%+$520
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$233.48
Bank of England rate cut in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+83.4%+$185.11
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$523.71
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$287
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.5
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-57.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+233.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+31.6%+$120
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+29.9%+$57.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA dip to $160 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$57.5
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$349.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+70.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oliveira vs. Gamrotbacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+70.9%+$41.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+37%+$135.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$49
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$128.76
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.