TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$289,256
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$322,842

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $289,256 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked No78c44,613$35,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,0001747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No1c16,711$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.1117753.1%94 W · 83 L+17.3wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No26c14,969$3,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,901.942,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes22c11,047$2,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,661.2662652.6%329 W · 297 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes22c7,773$1,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,097.191,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes40c6,990$2,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,212.965,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes23c6,980$1,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,342.072334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed No38c6,867$2,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,594.721450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes35c6,496$2,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,225.041,09843.8%481 W · 617 L-14.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No1c6,250$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.58155.6%45 W · 36 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed No77c6,000$4,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6204969.4%34 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes24c3,790$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,893.4979435.1%279 W · 515 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bc8…a613backed No60c3,461$2,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,060.871947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0fd…8924backed Yes73c3,015$2,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked No57c3,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,709.981050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed No79c2,400$1,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,895.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick78cpaid-56.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x87bb…01b9backed No44c2,274$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-71.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed Yes66c2,243$1,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.691258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed Yes24c2,074$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,578.92528%7 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f11…837cbacked Yes61c2,063$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.14450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c8…e4f7backed No78c2,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,560450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b6d…58f6backed Yes56c1,847$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.861020%2 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick26cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed No78c1,726$1,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,343683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+26.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Yes71c1,583$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.152250%11 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-32.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e33…1482backed No45c1,560$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-54.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No3c1,500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45414.9%2 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick3cpaid+100.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No70c1,495$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.6326749.4%132 W · 135 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes21c1,484$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.8262349.1%306 W · 317 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes24c1,483$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.324226.2%11 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0caf…abfebacked No78c1,452$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.63742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31b3…442cbacked No61c1,450$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes24c1,431$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.8423633.5%79 W · 157 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes72c1,396$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.54812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick36cpaid-82.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked No59c1,373$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.3520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes56c1,346$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.165655.4%31 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes21c1,333$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.073850%19 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked No62c1,320$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.123452.9%18 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb433…f543backed No75c1,300$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed Yes77c1,295$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.261163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fa0…7894backed Yes80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed No43c1,000$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.41346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a2f…2318backed No79c983.54$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes45c947.36$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.016546.2%30 W · 35 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes22c930.9$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.447832.1%25 W · 53 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed No3c893.98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7613641.9%57 W · 79 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes25c873$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.756056.7%34 W · 26 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+45.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No76c850$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.9137.7%1 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.31per pick38cpaid-89.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x88de…1091backed Yes21c800$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63213821%29 W · 109 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Yes74c785$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.234245.2%19 W · 23 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes21c784.14$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Yes22c753.65$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.844729.8%14 W · 33 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x856f…617dbacked Yes69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a09…3c83backed Yes60c713.59$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.93633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-47.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes59c700$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2878242.7%35 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes23c689.09$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.342213.6%3 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No77c676.75$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.095724.6%14 W · 43 L-7.8wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-26.8%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked No32c649.99$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2081662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e03…7f54backed No78c639.99$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed No77c634$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.8825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-66.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x43ab…5602backed No54c625$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed No52c600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312137.7%1 W · 12 L-5.2wins-0.40per pick48cpaid-80.3%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked No37c592.63$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21712535.2%44 W · 81 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes22c579.2$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.3947155.8%263 W · 208 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No48c571.16$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.669141.8%38 W · 53 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b97…5e12backed No79c561.7$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed No78c554$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.312055%11 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39a3…bd26backed Yes22c500.41$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.32450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+63.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8165…97b8backed No79c500$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3953348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b1d…820cbacked Yes60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed No47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bbb…1a0dbacked No74c498.99$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb3…d38ebacked No5c489$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.45425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-40.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes23c487.58$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.9127540.7%112 W · 163 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x082b…5e67backed No78c460.5$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.19366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick78cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes22c454.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.55450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+62.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No50c434.8$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21830750.8%156 W · 151 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c81…4e8dbacked No16c418.44$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.041030%3 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick23cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes62c406.63$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.551,02841.7%429 W · 599 L-31.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes55c405.35$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.6948768%331 W · 156 L+69.2wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+37.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x6467…7cadbacked Yes73c403.85$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1294…9dbabacked Yes63c400$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7969…c2c6backed No15c399.82$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.330%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No79c379.52$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.8216746.1%77 W · 90 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Yes38c356.44$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.7916858.3%98 W · 70 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed No53c336.45$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.2430%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed No78c333$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.741040%4 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick70cpaid-47.3%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Yes46c326.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.33862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Yes28c319.85$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.855058%29 W · 21 L+7.0wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+34.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes24c299.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.991631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7690…8b5fbacked No6c293.67$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed No49c276.38$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.7812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick33cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Yes74c275.18$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.81580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+91.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b07…de95backed Yes76c264.46$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes24c262.5$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.55121.6%11 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3753…8a21backed Yes70c261.33$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.33366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e66…0d3abacked Yes61c247$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes73c237.68$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.174143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb75e…1737backed Yes24c233.3$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.04425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65a0…ebecbacked Yes44c229.79$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c7…007dbacked No71c229.01$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.59560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.