TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9e03…7f54

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
121
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: College Football, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 56 out of 100; worst NFL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST2020%4 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-35.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+300%+$75
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$98.3
Seahawks vs. 49ers: O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$104
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$152.9
Spread: Rams (-7.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$99.7
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$96
Giants vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$143.71
Patriots vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$67.34
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$126
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$85
Lions vs. Vikings: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+334.8%+$169.39
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$24
49ers vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$1,099.5
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$243.6
Falcons vs. Cardinalsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+185.7%+$195
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+63.9%+$319.8
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$150.9
Panthers vs. Saintsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$240.07
All 20 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+400%+$424
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$201.5
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$49.6
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+100%+$600
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+316.7%+$319.2
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+33.3%+$100
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100.8
Will Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$99.9
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$101
Everton FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100.32
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$125.04
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$50.4
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+34.4%+$137.53
All 18 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$51.7
Avalanche vs. Panthersbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$148.88
Wild vs. Kingsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Maple Leafs vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Avalanche vs. Hurricanesbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+140.4%+$140.15
Blues vs. Avalanchebacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.27
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+72.7%+$71.13
Kraken vs. Kingsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+83.7%+$127.6
Utah vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+42.9%+$42.86
Kraken vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,116Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$1,115.98
Blackhawks vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+47.7%+$238.56
Hurricanes vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$99.45
Kings vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$99.9
Avalanche vs. Krakenbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+35.1%+$104
Ducks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$96.6
Utah vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+41.5%+$115.46
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$149.25
All 17 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+72.4%+$60.62
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$602Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+35.6%+$214.21
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$269.5
Will Elche CF win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+42.9%+$215.99
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$99
Will Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+100%+$90
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+29.9%+$89.7
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$764Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$763.65
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$303.4
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$303.4
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$985Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+54.2%+$534.14
Will FC Barcelona vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$150
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$59.4
Celtics vs. Clippersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+66.7%+$200
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Thunder vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$49.6
Hornets vs. Bucksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Nuggets vs. Cavaliersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+203%+$100.5
Celtics vs. Trail Blazersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$161.88
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+163.2%+$31
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+127.3%+$128.8
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$99.4
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$44.35
76ers vs. Hawksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$110
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Gabon win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$64.86
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+25%+$100
Will Angola win on 2025-12-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,181Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+44.9%+$530.41
Will Equatorial Guinea win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Will Morocco vs. Mali end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+122.2%+$60.5
Will Zambia vs. Comoros end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+212.5%+$108.8
Will Egypt vs. South Africa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$51.2
Will Cameroon win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+26.6%+$26.58
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+44.9%+$22.46
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+42.9%+$83.97
Will DR Congo win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+72.4%+$82.38
All 12 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+44%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wake Forest vs. Mississippi Statebacked Wake Forest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+138.1%+$602.65
Navy vs. Cincinnatibacked Cincinnati · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$52.6
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+272.8%+$1,364.66
LSU vs. Houstonbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunnersbacked Florida International · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$107.8
New Mexico vs. Minnesotabacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Central Michigan vs. Northwesternbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$51.42
California vs. Hawaiibacked Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+426.3%+$599.4
Western Kentucky vs. Southern Missbacked Western Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+203.1%+$556.14
James Madison vs. Oregonbacked James Madison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$50.4
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+40.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Niagara Purple Eagles vs. VCU Ramsbacked Niagara Purple Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$23.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.