Premier League · resolved market
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x985f99bd107e16d1fe8d5e4b17724a64128e8d3f3d8bd52b366cbafe614f0e94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $204,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $202,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $204,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…4f48backed Yes | 21c | 28,845$5,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,970 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63a1…a993backed Yes | 0c | 11,797$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 79c | 10,000$7,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.98 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…8de5backed Yes | 0c | 9,879$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 79c | 8,023$6,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.82 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b9…27d0backed Yes | 22c | 7,331$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 17c | 5,866$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 19c | 5,263$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.97 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 78c | 4,700$3,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.97 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 79c | 4,329$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.11 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 4,189$3,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.77 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e32…4e3ebacked Yes | 8c | 4,032$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.36 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 80c | 4,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Yes | 32c | 3,334$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.19 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 78c | 3,195$2,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.89 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed Yes | 21c | 3,024$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 80c | 2,858$2,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.93 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 79c | 2,381$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.51 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 80c | 2,220$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 20c | 2,151$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.11 | 139 | 39.6%55 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 9c | 2,092$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.44 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 20c | 1,967$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.16 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | +13.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 20c | 1,766$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.28 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 21c | 1,677$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.93 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked Yes | 12c | 1,326$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 112 | 34.8%39 W · 73 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Yes | 19c | 1,241$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,231$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 19c | 1,190$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.1 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 1,182$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.31 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 20c | 1,100$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 79c | 1,000$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.67 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c8…e4f7backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 12c | 999.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fa…1780backed No | 78c | 999.5$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.89 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 10c | 961.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 20c | 874.12$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.82 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 19c | 855.91$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.62 | 465 | 51.8%241 W · 224 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 79c | 800$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 69c | 760.43$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.73 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +62%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 79c | 729.17$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.54 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2827backed Yes | 3c | 666.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 16c | 642.44$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.79 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc587…1630backed No | 80c | 612.58$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.52 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 75c | 567$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.43 | 250 | 52%130 W · 120 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked No | 80c | 560$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Yes | 20c | 560$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 310 | 53.2%165 W · 145 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 25c | 486.84$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…b5e3backed Yes | 20c | 483.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 21c | 472.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 21c | 435$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.03 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…70a0backed Yes | 29c | 414.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.25 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked Yes | 20c | 405.15$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.03 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Yes | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4752…2a91backed No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55dd…ee68backed Yes | 20c | 398.83$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 15c | 397$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.55 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Yes | 23c | 386.38$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 21c | 357.14$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…8c5cbacked Yes | 14c | 341.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…d55dbacked Yes | 21c | 339.47$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…4426backed Yes | 26c | 335$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.1 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Yes | 18c | 333.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 19c | 315$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…9f6fbacked Yes | 34c | 314.82$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e69…bebebacked Yes | 16c | 314.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…762dbacked Yes | 33c | 299.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df4…0287backed Yes | 17c | 290.07$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.31 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 21c | 289.22$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.37 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 21c | 276.19$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 9c | 273.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 252 | 25%63 W · 189 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…a5cebacked Yes | 19c | 262.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2147…a818backed Yes | 15c | 262.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +98.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62d0…27d9backed Yes | 5c | 247.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0407…bdd4backed Yes | 16c | 243.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 38cpaid | +128.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 79c | 240$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 79c | 240$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…3f27backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4b…7b6fbacked Yes | 20c | 235$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 23c | 227.55$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.54 | 322 | 22.4%72 W · 250 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12cc…3587backed Yes | 25c | 220$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 14c | 216$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 21c | 200$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 300 | 50.3%151 W · 149 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe490…5a00backed Yes | 21c | 200$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 255 | 53.7%137 W · 118 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 292 | 59.2%173 W · 119 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?this page
- Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-03?No won
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.