TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7a90…2827

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
111
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Boxing, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST3411.8%4 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-42.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$65.96
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$30.59
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11.88
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+271.8%+$131.55
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11.19
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$49.35
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$352.6
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$141.51
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$25.42
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+352.2%+$621.73
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$22.89
Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20.4
Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$26.08
Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100.04
Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$108.42
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$103.2
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$54.4
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$209.23
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+707.1%+$876.09
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$388
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$192
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$568Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+232.7%+$1,321.17
Will Elon Musk post 130-139 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-39.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$478Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$478.1
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.53
Will Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+177.8%+$640
Will Arsenal FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$304
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$650
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+85.2%+$46
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,005Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+96.1%+$965.3
Will Chelsea FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$99.96
Will Liverpool FC vs. Barnsley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$103.8
Will Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$14.97
Will Portsmouth FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$51.5
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,003Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+72.4%+$726.6
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$620
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$532.08
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+35.1%+$175.68
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick19cpaid-67.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$8,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,250
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$4,968Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,968
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$284.62
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 12 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick8cpaid+197.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Golf — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$904.36
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.94
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.1
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$13,285.71
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$183
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick3cpaid+100%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick10cpaid+293.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+559.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+38.9%+$280
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$75.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.