Will Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa84123b48842f402fbae4bf0dc1dd549b195e59b3eed0a8b77fef45247e04fe4

Rebuilt 27 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 11, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $54,483
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $50,806

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,483 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xcddb…0d22backed No	78c	6,151$4,798 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,353.31	51	64.7%33 W · 18 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No	77c	5,224$4,031 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,193.23	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes	12c	5,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	270	24.8%67 W · 203 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	80c	4,931$3,936 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$995.16	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes	24c	3,294$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7250…f52fbacked Yes	22c	2,500$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	68	29.4%20 W · 48 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes	27c	2,106$568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$568.28	346	28.6%99 W · 247 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No	80c	1,810$1,441 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$369.49	162	38.3%62 W · 100 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed No	77c	1,747$1,345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$401.81	38	81.6%31 W · 7 L	+5.1wins	+0.13per pick	68cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes	31c	1,619$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes	23c	1,568$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362.23	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x630c…1230backed Yes	24c	1,500$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$365	103	33%34 W · 69 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No	74c	1,238$921 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$317.42	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No	76c	1,195$903 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$291.93	1,004	46.3%465 W · 539 L	+25.8wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes	26c	1,060$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.6	114	46.5%53 W · 61 L	+5.5wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc4b…7b6fbacked No	77c	1,001$771 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230.23	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Yes	7c	1,000$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.42	57	54.4%31 W · 26 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes	22c	972$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.54	2,550	47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1130…7d2cbacked Yes	12c	906.83$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.6	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Yes	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	174	28.2%49 W · 125 L	-11.3wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes	13c	640$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.18	90	35.6%32 W · 58 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes	31c	599.68$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.9	115	34.8%40 W · 75 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes	24c	591.31$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.77	196	54.6%107 W · 89 L	-10.3wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-10%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No	76c	571.59$437 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.87	141	47.5%67 W · 74 L	-8.4wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes	23c	434.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	197	32.5%64 W · 133 L	+8.7wins	+0.04per pick	28cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes	18c	412.89$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	110	19.1%21 W · 89 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e69…200ebacked Yes	28c	407.87$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.66	58	37.9%22 W · 36 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Yes	29c	400$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.9	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+4.0wins	+0.34per pick	33cpaid	+94.7%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc450…f2f7backed No	78c	319.92$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.38	54	61.1%33 W · 21 L	-6.9wins	-0.13per pick	74cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No	75c	314.17$236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.12	359	41.5%149 W · 210 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Yes	27c	313.53$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.24	89	44.9%40 W · 49 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b23…bbb5backed Yes	26c	303.05$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	105	39%41 W · 64 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	27c	300$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	233	25.8%60 W · 173 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42fd…4661backed Yes	29c	299.99$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No	72c	265.42$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.35	827	63%521 W · 306 L	+113.2wins	+0.14per pick	49cpaid	+41.9%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x2b1a…6258backed Yes	11c	263.62$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	57	17.5%10 W · 47 L	-5.2wins	-0.09per pick	27cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked Yes	29c	244.83$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	109	40.4%44 W · 65 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b24…2d97backed Yes	27c	239.29$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4b7…e13bbacked Yes	31c	232.61$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.19per pick	31cpaid	+135.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes	23c	215.27$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.13	181	39.2%71 W · 110 L	-7.7wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0097…f101backed Yes	15c	212.22$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Yes	25c	200$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	72	36.1%26 W · 46 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1350…7169backed Yes	26c	200$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes	23c	200$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	233	53.6%125 W · 108 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ab1…b7d7backed Yes	27c	200$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-3.3wins	-0.33per pick	53cpaid	-72.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1294…9dbabacked Yes	28c	200$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	77	53.2%41 W · 36 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	59cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes	31c	195$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	95	34.7%33 W · 62 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2367…c5b3backed Yes	26c	192.31$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9953…4fa0backed Yes	26c	189.63$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…1eedbacked Yes	27c	185.19$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	-4.8wins	-0.17per pick	31cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7201…0fc8backed Yes	24c	181.44$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.55	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d73…3639backed Yes	30c	180.07$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.48	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bee…588abacked Yes	31c	178.59$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2353…45eabacked Yes	31c	170.97$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.16per pick	36cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes	31c	170$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	99	38.4%38 W · 61 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2298…ac49backed Yes	21c	166.2$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	44	15.9%7 W · 37 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79c7…6caebacked Yes	23c	155.83$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.84	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-46.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e32…6e95backed Yes	15c	155.69$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.56	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3493…47bcbacked Yes	13c	153.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+1.2wins	+0.12per pick	18cpaid	+79.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe977…fcd8backed Yes	30c	151.58$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.47	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes	13c	150.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.69	423	24.3%103 W · 320 L	-36.4wins	-0.09per pick	33cpaid	-47%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7441…cb79backed Yes	31c	150$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.5	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes	10c	150$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	322	22.4%72 W · 250 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72e2…1d2abacked Yes	30c	133.48$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes	24c	125$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	150	25.3%38 W · 112 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No	80c	118.98$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.09	1,272	50.4%641 W · 631 L	-53.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fc6…049abacked Yes	27c	111.11$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.16per pick	41cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed Yes	26c	109.31$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.42	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-3.5wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-55.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcc72…bb37backed Yes	23c	104.35$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	-2.4wins	-0.11per pick	26cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa134…3ba2backed Yes	27c	103.26$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.88	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-3.1wins	-0.21per pick	41cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	78c	101$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.22	966	45.4%439 W · 527 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e87…2171backed Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c90…3f67backed Yes	24c	100$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	28cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e50…7a6bbacked Yes	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	129	48.1%62 W · 67 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes	24c	83.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	317	46.1%146 W · 171 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed No	75c	82.33$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.58	112	55.4%62 W · 50 L	+6.1wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd6d…c733backed Yes	24c	80$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	63	30.2%19 W · 44 L	-9.5wins	-0.15per pick	45cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Yes	16c	76.92$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	159	49.7%79 W · 80 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes	24c	75$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	360	36.1%130 W · 230 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Yes	28c	71.43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xca6d…492bbacked No	76c	70$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.7	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-7.4wins	-0.43per pick	55cpaid	-79.8%equal weight	30-0.18 edge/pick
0xf085…5696backed Yes	30c	69.39$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.09	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Yes	20c	68.07$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.74	91	37.4%34 W · 57 L	-7.7wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x480e…3e38backed Yes	24c	66.67$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	42	54.8%23 W · 19 L	+7.1wins	+0.17per pick	38cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x752f…a33cbacked Yes	24c	61.25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.7	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ec8…397bbacked No	76c	61.24$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.85	54	42.6%23 W · 31 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa07…deabbacked Yes	24c	61.13$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.67	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes	25c	60$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	170	47.6%81 W · 89 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a90…2827backed Yes	25c	59.89$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.97	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8778…6eadbacked Yes	24c	58.92$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked No	72c	58.38$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.19	67	35.8%24 W · 43 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x583c…8e4cbacked Yes	24c	57.54$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.81	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2085…dd27backed Yes	23c	55.33$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	40	35%14 W · 26 L	-3.3wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	+37%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe071…d24cbacked Yes	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	48	50%24 W · 24 L	+4.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x11fa…ebf3backed Yes	31c	50$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+3.2wins	+0.23per pick	42cpaid	+59.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe378…4d72backed Yes	28c	48.65$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.71	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed No	79c	46.2$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.48	76	55.3%42 W · 34 L	+6.0wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9805…106dbacked Yes	24c	45.33$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.88	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.25per pick	25cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x640f…4cc0backed No	76c	45$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.8	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked No	73c	41.52$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.17	120	55%66 W · 54 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?this page
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-11?Yes won
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-11?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event