Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8935bee6f49e2ae96a4387ff407581deb084bc130eb63e70025f29efa06cac4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $310,644
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $329,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $310,644 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 368 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 46c | 65,191$29,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,202.94 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 45,056$23,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,728.37 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…3048backed No | 45c | 23,267$10,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,796.74 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…079fbacked Yes | 56c | 14,385$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.29per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.92 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 35c | 8,762$3,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,078.84 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,159.98 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 54c | 6,980$3,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750.99 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 6,628$4,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992.49 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed No | 49c | 6,000$2,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,065.42 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed No | 46c | 5,410$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,909.85 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.98 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 3c | 4,931$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.99 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked No | 45c | 4,471$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.09 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 4c | 4,445$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 44c | 4,398$1,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,462.6 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed No | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 36cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 53c | 3,919$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,092.48 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Yes | 30c | 3,382$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Yes | 55c | 3,338$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 32c | 3,000$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.35 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.99 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 48c | 2,929$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.14 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…0c01backed No | 50c | 2,912$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.8 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df1…ea12backed No | 49c | 2,894$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.01 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked Yes | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 68c | 2,603$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.72 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 37c | 2,585$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.45 | 344 | 28.8%99 W · 245 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25a7…8b7cbacked No | 80c | 2,505$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 47c | 2,500$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.37 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ee…f7a7backed Yes | 58c | 2,427$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.01 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 61c | 1,943$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.04 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fa…140bbacked Yes | 28c | 1,886$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.43 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Yes | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79a4…3358backed Yes | 29c | 1,725$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa47f…dfb1backed Yes | 7c | 1,709$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 29c | 1,700$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac36…e266backed Yes | 55c | 1,614$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.88 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…1230backed Yes | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 61c | 1,499$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.27 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Yes | 47c | 1,431$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Yes | 36c | 1,393$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 51c | 1,332$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.13 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1130…7d2cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,273$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 45c | 1,165$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed No | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.97 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +7.1wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed No | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Yes | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 45c | 999.96$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.98 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…5f1dbacked Yes | 50c | 981.38$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Yes | 52c | 964.06$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…dc73backed Yes | 52c | 960$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.2 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.6wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xab8f…b2f0backed Yes | 17c | 939.74$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 38c | 904$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.91 | 250 | 52%130 W · 120 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Yes | 56c | 900$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Yes | 55c | 888$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.4 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Yes | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 54c | 712.7$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.08 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…3dd4backed Yes | 29c | 691.69$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.59 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 54c | 668.64$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.19 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 45c | 630$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.5 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 42c | 628.03$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.57 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed No | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed No | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Yes | 59c | 596.13$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.72 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x092c…3175backed Yes | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 22c | 571.91$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.59 | 72 | 23.6%17 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d6…f5b6backed Yes | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad08…c58bbacked Yes | 55c | 539.82$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57a…fe9fbacked Yes | 38c | 529.89$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.49 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked Yes | 38c | 520.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454f…bb79backed Yes | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 47c | 497.71$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.58 | 1,161 | 57.4%666 W · 495 L | +40.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed No | 79c | 485.27$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b31…759dbacked Yes | 3c | 460.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bad…223fbacked Yes | 2c | 454.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 44c | 450.75$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.42 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…306fbacked Yes | 46c | 449.98$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.99 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf540…cc07backed Yes | 55c | 418.18$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes | 5c | 417.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 110 | 19.1%21 W · 89 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked No | 63c | 406.08$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.25 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c1…2e70backed Yes | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5449…5659backed Yes | 4c | 395$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa80…79ebbacked Yes | 52c | 383.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 55c | 378.38$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.11 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes | 54c | 363.63$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.36 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b24…2d97backed Yes | 51c | 363.16$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 14c | 346$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 964 | 45.4%438 W · 526 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee54…5665backed Yes | 25c | 341.12$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.28 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be6…3b7fbacked Yes | 61c | 325.7$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.68 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed No | 48c | 321.11$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.11 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…9c6dbacked Yes | 7c | 306.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +122.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe63…2de4backed Yes | 55c | 305.45$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 31c | 300$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…3984backed Yes | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked No | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-11?this page
- Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-11?Yes won
- Will Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.