TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x02c1…2e70

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
149
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 55 out of 100; worst Champions League at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT3050%15 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$919Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$814.8
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$161.2
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,324Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$1,425.42
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,301Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$481.01
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,485Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,484.92
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$151.11
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.2
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$544.5
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$112
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$570
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+127.3%+$229.6
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$650
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$603Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+153.6%+$926.35
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+354.5%+$861.99
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+88.7%+$294.79
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+108.3%+$119.17
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+75.4%+$323.44
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$752Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+84.1%+$632.3
Wolves vs. Manchester United: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,250.35
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$58
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,679Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,679.23
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$655Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$655.24
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2540%10 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 11-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$3,133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,132.92
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,989Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$2,988.57
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 February 2-8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$3,985Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$3,985.12
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 January 26-1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$3,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$3,007.72
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$6,072Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$6,071.63
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 January 26-1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,028Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,027.81
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 19-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+222.5%+$1,121.36
Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 January 19-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,963Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$2,962.93
Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 January 12-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,478Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+100%+$1,477.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 January 12-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+525%+$2,587.2
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 January 12-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$6,033Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$6,033.13
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 January 12-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$603Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$603.42
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 January 5-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$6,666Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+149.5%+$9,966.43
Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 January 5-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,379Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+79.1%+$2,671.25
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 January 5-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$7,850Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$7,850.27
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 January 5-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$743Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$742.68
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 December 29-January 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$4,160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+154.1%+$6,410.53
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 29-January 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$3,284.8
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,455Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+222.4%+$3,235.66
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$216
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 December 22-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,898Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+217.8%+$6,313.04
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 December 15-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$6,253Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+137.1%+$8,571.75
Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 December 8-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$546Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$545.94
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+90.5%+$904.77
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$125
All 25 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,783Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$1,139.68
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,741Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$1,752.18
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,087Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,086.95
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,644Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+63.1%+$1,036.91
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,028Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$2,027.96
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+78.5%+$402.75
Will Rangers FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$235
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$772Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$771.78
Will Celtic FC win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$401.36
Will Aberdeen FC win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$530.41
Will Dundee United FC vs. Rangers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+206.9%+$135.98
Will Aberdeen FC win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+174.1%+$203.7
Will Livingston FC win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$17.6
Will Rangers FC win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$576Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$576
Will Celtic FC win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,642Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+74.3%+$1,219.65
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$599.7
Will Celtic FC win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,777Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+53%+$940.93
All 17 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST1637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$998Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$998.4
Will Aberdeen FC win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-12-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Celtic FC win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$17
FC Basel 1893 vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Rangers FC win on 2025-12-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+88.7%+$35.52
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+96.6%+$442.99
Will SC Braga win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+118.1%+$292.98
Will Aberdeen FC win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will SC Braga win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Rangers FC win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Aberdeen FC vs. Noah FA end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+81.8%+$55.87
Will Celtic FC win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+376.2%+$763.33
Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Aston Villa FC vs. BSC Young Boys: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+100%+$100
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1618.8%3 W · 13 L-4.5wins-0.28per pick47cpaid-60.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$462.14
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$89
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+37%+$103.19
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$84.57
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$112
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$202.21
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100.89
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+163.2%+$163.16
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+131.2%+$262.47
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$266.93
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,974Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,974.42
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+200.2%+$199.06
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,815Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,815.03
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.2
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,790Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$534.64
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$964Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$964
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$966Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,133.83
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$193.29
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.15
All 10 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-36.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$864Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$864.37
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.7
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$234.17
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$118
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kingsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.71
India T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 2)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$596Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$595.55
India T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 1)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+48.2%+$183.93
Will India win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$152.13
All 8 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+70.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padresbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.7
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+335.4%+$127.97
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$481Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$481.21
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$90.43
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$964Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$821.13
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$965Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,447.85
All 6 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick10cpaid+257.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Blackhawksbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$891Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$891.37
Golden Knights vs. Islandersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$447.67
Ducks vs. Penguinsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+104.1%+$104.08
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$121.4
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+100%+$199.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$145.86
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.