Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2025-11-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb45e13f6aed4509dd00f7bdd1303840e52680f03df743aa1cfdd76bf84a79fe4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,321
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,321 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x71f8…55ffbacked Yes | 4c | 7,997$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.97 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 75c | 3,801$2,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.85 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…3d88backed Yes | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 26c | 1,517$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.19 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 1,263$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.41 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Yes | 27c | 1,140$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.7 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 19c | 1,059$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 74c | 1,001$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.24 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 74c | 764.28$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.04 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 24c | 558.45$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.03 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 76c | 490$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.2 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked No | 73c | 468.69$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.55 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…c9c8backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 71c | 406.9$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…4e8dbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c1…2e70backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x137b…aa61backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Yes | 29c | 337.79$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 24c | 201.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…fd45backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +5.2wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…07f2backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab4…a62dbacked Yes | 27c | 166.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfe…8aaebacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 75c | 160$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c3…bdf4backed No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf934…8858backed Yes | 24c | 122$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…42e3backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…0268backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1830…fe0dbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x297d…ab75backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe141…ea2dbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a81…f0c3backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a24…328abacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed No | 73c | 69.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…58efbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d94…5d78backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9041…ef0dbacked Yes | 31c | 60.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd7…de6dbacked Yes | 27c | 55.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a28…8323backed Yes | 29c | 55.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked Yes | 30c | 40.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.22per pick | 34cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed No | 76c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc906…fe7abacked No | 74c | 15.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…95d4backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2025-11-27?this page
- Will AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv end in a draw?No won
- Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2025-11-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.