TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7ab4…a62d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
131
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 55 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT4645.7%21 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$169
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$51.15
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$55.16
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$120
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$48.53
Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$152.61
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+74.8%+$100.96
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$45.68
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$64.29
Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$18.25
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$89
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.1
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+216.2%+$335.16
Will Russia capture Rodynske by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+50.7%+$152.18
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+44.1%+$132.18
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+97.6%+$225.94
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+150.3%+$150.28
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$748Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+47.7%+$357.13
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+263.7%+$741.36
Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+118.1%+$88.59
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+243%+$1,057.16
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$76.42
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will Russia enter Sviato-Pokrovske by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will Russia enter Huliaipole by December 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+169.6%+$715.08
Will Russia capture Shakhove by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+26.2%+$7.85
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$32.87
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.61
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$35.29
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Grizzlies vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+117.4%+$58.7
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-43.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Liverpool finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+144.2%+$72.1
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Spread: Arsenal (-1.5)backed Crystal Palace · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+72.5%+$18.11
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
All 10 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$182.55
USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$15.23
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+89.2%+$270.35
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$175
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$902Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$902.11
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+44.5%+$40.52
Will Almanak FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$94.29
Will Juventus win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$25.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.