TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,303,891
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,439,387

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,303,891 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,457 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7225…659abacked Yes36c1,083,972$390,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693,741.992846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked No63c520,280$329,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329,428.7315456.5%87 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No58c322,148$187,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187,030.952,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No58c289,309$166,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166,427.1974752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No63c243,963$154,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154,865.4829952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No48c218,832$104,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104,800.464,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No13c154,142$20,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,008.513,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes36c151,726$54,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96,754.682,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes42c102,462$42,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,729.1564446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes54c88,090$47,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,267.728,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No61c88,019$53,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,680.281,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Yes36c83,839$30,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,656.6533538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed No57c70,681$40,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,112.8324441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No40c67,522$27,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,240.81,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No54c63,736$34,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,425.7931945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94e4…87e0backed Yes37c54,054$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,054.055523.6%13 W · 42 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed No4c52,305$2,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,304.9128229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes37c47,492$17,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,102.2438734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed No64c41,700$26,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,6889247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No53c40,484$21,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,557.133337.8%126 W · 207 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No64c34,210$21,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,826.4442043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Yes36c25,000$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,00026447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed No39c21,630$8,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,391.1321738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0563…f41cbacked Yes6c20,825$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,605.3315040%60 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No50c18,129$9,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,086.972,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Yes35c17,698$6,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,495.596847.1%32 W · 36 L+7.7wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+20.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x45ad…55b7backed Yes35c17,184$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,184.266459.4%38 W · 26 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8fee…7e03backed No56c17,000$9,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,519.752642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid+48.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes76c16,714$12,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,993.1936634.4%126 W · 240 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-38.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes64c16,656$10,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,005.0679231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x007f…58dabacked Yes37c16,306$6,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,255.597243.1%31 W · 41 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Yes68c16,141$10,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,164.9614232.4%46 W · 96 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No64c16,017$10,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,302.9524443%105 W · 139 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd33f…91a8backed Yes79c14,664$11,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,071.289444.7%42 W · 52 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26ea…2f4bbacked Yes70c14,252$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,252.151450%7 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Yes36c14,129$5,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,042.756758.2%39 W · 28 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Yes4c13,332$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,754.2821314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Yes7c12,533$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,603.0146012.4%57 W · 403 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04c0…4f3dbacked Yes24c12,500$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,5007632.9%25 W · 51 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Yes36c12,500$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,999.9424058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes29c12,437$3,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,883.1865948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c0a…a9bebacked Yes3c11,000$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,664.822334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid+99.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No46c10,940$5,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,036.442,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Yes34c10,000$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,60027345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked No64c10,000$6,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,40013959.7%83 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes37c10,000$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,30024526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed Yes2c9,981$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,781.6325821.3%55 W · 203 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No64c9,500$6,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,08047643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed No64c9,200$5,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,88444144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No64c9,018$5,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,771.5850243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes11c9,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,98015127.8%42 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No64c8,500$5,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,472.1348441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Yes37c8,000$2,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0405219.2%10 W · 42 L-9.8wins-0.19per pick38cpaid-52.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes37c7,939$2,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,006.521,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No56c7,887$4,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,404.842,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No64c7,699$4,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,935.51,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked No9c7,394$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.9349441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes16c7,347$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,199.072,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5db…5800backed Yes72c6,944$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,944.4410059%59 W · 41 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Yes50c6,848$3,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,398.344663%29 W · 17 L+7.1wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3653…ef74backed Yes11c6,701$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,987.8234035%119 W · 221 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75e9…2b3abacked No75c6,674$4,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,994.983740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked No63c6,653$4,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,200.9733549%164 W · 171 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked No3c6,570$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.4951514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99c4…18e7backed No47c6,441$3,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,032.8413037.7%49 W · 81 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-41.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes76c6,407$4,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,511.7832656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcd2d…904cbacked Yes36c6,111$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,911.115841.4%24 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed No63c6,000$3,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,779.9813533.3%45 W · 90 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde76…7d17backed No64c5,800$3,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7125362.3%33 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes27c5,721$1,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,178.4626534%90 W · 175 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc48…24c3backed No64c5,660$3,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,622.43842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed No64c5,600$3,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,58447442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Yes44c5,572$2,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,145.9717852.2%93 W · 85 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16d3…7c23backed No66c5,558$3,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,641.072653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes36c5,556$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,555.841,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Yes37c5,405$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,405.4110457.7%60 W · 44 L+10.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd0e9…67ffbacked Yes65c5,119$3,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.93865.8%25 W · 13 L+4.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+17.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3ca2…073bbacked Yes78c5,117$3,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125.777429.7%22 W · 52 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes9c5,063$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,583.3333538.8%130 W · 205 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed No25c5,051$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,278.3738333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f85…7b02backed Yes14c5,040$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,315.633937.5%127 W · 212 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1d…eb2ebacked Yes77c5,000$3,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.4314542.8%62 W · 83 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Yes40c4,992$1,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,994.2612047.5%57 W · 63 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fdd…2f82backed Yes51c4,916$2,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,418.853354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+45.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes72c4,805$3,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.6321141.7%88 W · 123 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde0f…ddd3backed Yes13c4,785$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,159.565743.9%25 W · 32 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+38.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No64c4,704$3,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,010.7147144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8077…ffefbacked Yes22c4,541$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,542.263935.9%14 W · 25 L+6.7wins+0.17per pick19cpaid+97.7%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x38fe…a923backed No75c4,529$3,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,397.0611942.9%51 W · 68 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No4c4,483$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.7370750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Yes41c4,384$1,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,606.2514946.3%69 W · 80 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Yes38c4,342$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,692.1135244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes10c4,341$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,894.4335136.8%129 W · 222 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b8b…2512backed Yes10c4,245$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,812.2333237.3%124 W · 208 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1685…6de4backed Yes43c4,207$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,376.9327239%106 W · 166 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes34c4,126$1,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,707.5493542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No63c4,004$2,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,522.7436250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2106…4deabacked No63c4,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.9518843.6%82 W · 106 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9af…359cbacked Yes48c3,718$1,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,922.6713352.6%70 W · 63 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No23c3,608$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.382,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.