TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0d1d…eb2e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
204
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT14542.8%62 W · 83 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 145 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,558Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,557.53
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,052Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,051.72
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,522Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+54.9%+$1,934.34
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.24
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,019Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$1,076.28
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,194.18
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,278Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$739.92
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,157Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+137.6%+$2,968.33
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,619Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+40%+$1,446.73
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,132.9
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,392Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,392.03
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.91
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,760Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+93.2%+$2,573.14
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,019Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+36%+$1,445.33
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,788Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,788.02
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,444Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,443.92
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,372Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,371.92
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,274Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$1,189.9
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,179Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+237.4%+$5,173.65
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$5,877Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$2,669.58
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,964Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+72.2%+$3,582.54
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$366.01
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.09
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.86
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$911Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+121%+$1,101.84
Showing 25 of 145 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT3743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$541Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+152.6%+$825.52
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.24
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$86.74
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.98
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$628Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$168.75
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+78.5%+$123.6
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+93.9%+$105.67
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.14
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.6
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.51
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+34.3%+$44.36
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+33.9%+$117.74
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+71.9%+$19.41
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+26.5%+$62.99
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+59.1%+$108.57
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+45.7%+$15.11
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+30.5%+$89.09
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$391.47
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+59.6%+$1,259.01
Nets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$45.97
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$36.59
Raptors vs. Magicbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$312.67
Lakers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$80.76
Clippers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$60.92
Nets vs. Sunsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50.39
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-43.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.85
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.38
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$431Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$225.3
Will Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$147.68
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$176.04
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.74
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$24.37
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.42
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.23
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.62
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$665Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$335.04
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+569%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+569%+$93.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.