Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95819f1669d9a6a5c54b19f02ffcf768ac5208b7424c161b7da046b53e707b93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,671,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,976,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,671,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4761…5ae8backed No | 10c | 164,675$16,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,467.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 11c | 158,000$17,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,379.97 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed No | 9c | 147,823$13,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,304.1 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 10c | 112,511$11,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,251.07 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 10c | 99,999$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.93 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 9c | 94,440$8,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,195.34 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 11c | 93,356$9,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,926.3 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef5…dc05backed No | 11c | 69,374$7,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,631.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 10c | 63,613$6,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,624.32 | 914 | 35.3%323 W · 591 L | -15.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 9c | 59,713$5,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,515.86 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 11c | 57,528$6,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,042.92 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 6c | 45,506$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,730.34 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a2…d77ebacked No | 10c | 31,232$3,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,153.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed No | 11c | 30,887$3,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,397.58 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 11c | 30,098$3,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,264.98 | 773 | 42.8%331 W · 442 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed No | 5c | 26,243$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.13 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0df…69c5backed No | 10c | 23,005$2,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300.54 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 6c | 22,864$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.3 | 263 | 19.8%52 W · 211 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 6c | 21,240$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.39 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3328…e6b8backed No | 8c | 19,071$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.43 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed No | 10c | 17,780$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked No | 7c | 17,044$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 112 | 34.8%39 W · 73 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 6c | 12,387$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789 | 1,690 | 34.9%589 W · 1,101 L | -33.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 13c | 11,256$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.28 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked No | 12c | 10,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 136 | 30.9%42 W · 94 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 8c | 10,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed No | 11c | 9,182$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.04 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed No | 11c | 9,090$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.89 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed No | 10c | 9,029$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.82 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 8c | 9,026$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.73 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 11c | 8,703$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.33 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed No | 12c | 8,526$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.69 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1af…c4d1backed No | 10c | 8,233$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.3 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 10c | 6,911$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.88 | 598 | 47.7%285 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 10c | 5,884$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.45 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…7e93backed No | 12c | 5,474$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.78 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed No | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15b3…b15ebacked No | 6c | 4,586$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…5e52backed No | 10c | 4,089$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.91 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed No | 11c | 4,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +12.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked No | 10c | 3,908$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.71 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked No | 11c | 3,902$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2952…97b0backed No | 10c | 3,835$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 26cpaid | +142.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 8c | 3,508$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.06 | 146 | 58.9%86 W · 60 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed No | 11c | 3,507$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.81 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1987…cf6bbacked No | 11c | 3,500$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 10c | 3,500$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 10c | 3,330$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23e4…e501backed No | 11c | 3,318$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.22per pick | 37cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 10c | 3,150$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e64…d958backed No | 11c | 3,005$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked No | 11c | 3,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked No | 9c | 2,900$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed No | 13c | 2,874$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17d6…f1e2backed No | 11c | 2,688$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.68 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 10c | 2,500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.95 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…6c9fbacked No | 11c | 2,455$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2010…d0f0backed No | 12c | 2,402$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…fe9ebacked No | 11c | 2,366$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed No | 11c | 2,324$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.64 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 10c | 2,272$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.48 | 1,240 | 42.2%523 W · 717 L | -29.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e4…58eabacked No | 13c | 2,264$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.08 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 10c | 2,221$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.11 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 11c | 2,218$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.56 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 10c | 2,182$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.2 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed No | 9c | 2,143$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.86 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked No | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 290 | 24.8%72 W · 218 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ab…723dbacked No | 11c | 1,962$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 11c | 1,958$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.37 | 294 | 58.2%171 W · 123 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed No | 11c | 1,909$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 6c | 1,886$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.87 | 117 | 27.4%32 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 11c | 1,863$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.19 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…f727backed No | 12c | 1,687$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc594…7738backed No | 9c | 1,622$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.91 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…acdbbacked No | 11c | 1,580$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 11c | 1,564$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.59 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6871…e9dcbacked No | 11c | 1,364$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 5c | 1,291$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 593 | 32.9%195 W · 398 L | -30.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 10c | 1,275$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.55 | 141 | 62.4%88 W · 53 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x898a…499abacked No | 8c | 1,272$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 8c | 1,226$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked No | 12c | 1,223$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.2 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe667…6117backed No | 10c | 1,200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b43…9149backed No | 10c | 1,200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked No | 10c | 1,110$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked No | 10c | 1,100$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed No | 9c | 1,092$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.27 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…0f54backed No | 11c | 1,048$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.27 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b09…13d3backed No | 12c | 1,042$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…3e26backed No | 11c | 1,040$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…9dd0backed No | 11c | 1,027$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.02 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed No | 11c | 1,022$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.44 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 11c | 1,018$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked No | 10c | 1,011$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.09 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…d9c3backed No | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?this page
- Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.