TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3bea…f95a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
293
Categories scored
30
Categories below 50
20

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst Middle East at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT11234.8%39 W · 73 L+8.5wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 112 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$144.83
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$529Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$528.98
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+199.5%+$997.67
Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$558Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$557.65
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,150
Burnley FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$410
Exact Score: Chelsea FC 2 - 0 Manchester City FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Chelsea FC 1 - 0 Manchester City FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Chelsea FC 3 - 1 Manchester City FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Chelsea FC 2 - 1 Manchester City FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,504Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,504.47
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$479.47
Chelsea FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$455.56
Showing 25 of 112 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT319.7%3 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick20cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,827Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,826.6
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$230.77
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+177.8%+$444.44
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+297.5%+$1,487.37
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,244Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+455.6%+$5,665.7
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,320
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$540
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,700
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,700
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$300
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$120
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$200
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$850
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Israel strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$40
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2825%7 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$3,309Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,308.8
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$6,550Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+103.2%+$6,761.96
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+274.3%+$1,371.7
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$410
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$382
Will Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.15
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+566.7%+$1,700
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$234.78
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+97%+$1,260.78
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+244.9%+$489.83
Chelsea FC vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$3,039.51
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+733.3%+$5,866.67
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$3,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$3,300
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2020%4 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick13cpaid-21.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$200
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$980
Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$240
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+128%+$895.95
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+169.3%+$931.27
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$940
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$185
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+316.7%+$316.67
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+563.4%+$3,267.53
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$40
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 20 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+39.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.8
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+143.9%+$287.8
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+233.3%+$233.33
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$900
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+72.4%+$144.83
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Como 1907 vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Pisa SC vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$235.71
Pisa SC vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+323.4%+$323.42
Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)backed Como 1907 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+233.4%+$466.84
Pisa SC vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+165.1%+$363.11
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$721Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$721
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$140
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$540
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-47.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cole Palmer score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Trent Alexander-Arnold score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Kosovo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Burkina Faso end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+110.6%+$331.83
Will Algeria vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$240
Will DR Congo win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Algeria win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+212.5%+$127.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-53.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoevenbacked Rico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$559Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$559.4
Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudovbacked Makhmudov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$589Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$588.53
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+272.8%+$1,425.03
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+96.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$288.2
Bucks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+120%+$239.96
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$23.03
Nuggets vs. 76ersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+669.2%+$2,007.69
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+89.4%+$268.18
Bucks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 6 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SV 07 Elversberg vs. FC Schalke 04 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.87
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+92.3%+$461.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+43.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+187.6%+$3,751.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rangers FC vs. Aberdeen FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Aberdeen FC win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.6
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+183.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+183.1%+$549.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Cougars vs. TCU Horned Frogsbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.