TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$634,638
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$696,035

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $634,638 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 327 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes41c317,380$129,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188,055.613164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No59c100,000$59,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,0007938%30 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No59c100,000$59,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,999.996347.6%30 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked No59c100,000$59,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,999.882839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No60c50,000$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,0001833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-28.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed No61c39,498$24,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,093.851369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+30.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Yes41c39,100$16,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,0691369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+46.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No60c19,415$11,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,655.52725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No64c17,805$11,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,383.242,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes41c15,000$6,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,8506360.3%38 W · 25 L+7.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No60c12,560$7,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,524.4368750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes40c9,890$4,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,887.9327737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No59c9,000$5,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,31016045%72 W · 88 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No61c8,952$5,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,475.6793252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes27c5,982$1,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,366.713154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes41c5,407$2,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,192.3520544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b25…e597backed No60c5,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+25.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x659c…85bbbacked No73c4,930$3,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,597.892568%17 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes34c4,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,640.067345.2%33 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Yes41c3,729$1,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,200.115550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No60c2,870$1,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,721.8998544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed No59c2,839$1,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,674.963727%10 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-37.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No21c2,813$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.5132843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07bc…393abacked No59c2,774$1,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,636.43944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes43c2,545$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,445540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+7.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No59c2,500$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47537250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38fe…a923backed No68c2,439$1,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,653.651963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c7a…7625backed Yes43c2,346$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+24.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes32c2,159$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,467.948139.5%32 W · 49 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No60c2,000$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.849556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No61c1,900$1,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,155.72744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes43c1,896$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.7445547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No59c1,764$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.6722947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes41c1,592$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.9324939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No51c1,591$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.421,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes64c1,551$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.4396942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed No63c1,500$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.972138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ede…d6a7backed Yes44c1,300$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7281145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes40c1,230$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.5648144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Yes44c1,149$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.622161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4daa…6920backed Yes36c1,100$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.99955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.22per pick34cpaid+48.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No7c1,055$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757226.4%19 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6007055.7%39 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed No61c964$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.0414142.6%60 W · 81 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes21c900.2$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.772218.2%4 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-1.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed No63c871.27$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.92240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42b…41cfbacked Yes37c851.08$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.081020%2 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-59.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No60c846.87$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.752748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01ec…585abacked Yes43c815.73$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.733956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No60c796$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.622348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4cc…3a42backed Yes39c769.23$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.23633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes26c766.46$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.184131.7%13 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69f2…49b3backed Yes44c750$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4221435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Yes37c670$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.12744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes31c668$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.7918858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x423c…25d5backed Yes25c611$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.252934.5%10 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8644…02d2backed Yes33c606.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.68450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Yes27c579.37$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.944553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked Yes41c559.34$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.015100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+84.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf81…80cebacked Yes40c545$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3d3f…c7f3backed Yes48c502.41$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.063754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Yes29c502.21$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.572352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed No10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3003748.6%18 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x291b…2667backed No59c499.99$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.993271.9%23 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed No59c499.98$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.993641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No59c499.98$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.996851.5%35 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b1e…0842backed Yes45c494.51$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf540…cc07backed Yes41c487.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.8955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+41.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bea…f95abacked Yes41c487.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.81450%7 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+39.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes41c487.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.813553.3%72 W · 63 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b9e…4580backed Yes41c487.73$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.732437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.194639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes43c462.79$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.798744.8%39 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.555764.9%37 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Yes22c453.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.8510736.4%39 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Yes42c449.69$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.693050%15 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Yes44c446.91$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.278160.5%49 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes40c440$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2648659.3%51 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Yes23c436.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.097954.4%43 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes35c422.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.625856.9%33 W · 25 L+7.6wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+39.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes28c417.57$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.6519436.1%70 W · 124 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes73c413.32$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.622373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes40c400$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2409456.4%53 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f43…a080backed No59c399.71$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.991172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92ae…a7b0backed No61c385.54$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.18540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes40c368.3$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.982948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd12f…b001backed Yes41c366.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf6…f039backed No60c366.33$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeebb…deffbacked Yes41c365.85$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.855170.6%36 W · 15 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed No57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003432.4%11 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-9.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No27c331.74$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.8124849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes41c302.9$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.719953.5%53 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes43c300$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.0512052.5%63 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked Yes41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1774233.3%14 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No55c299.99$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.323353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No48c295.48$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.1712929.5%38 W · 91 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked No60c294.31$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.599037.8%34 W · 56 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xda70…828bbacked Yes42c265.76$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.144647.8%22 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe972…798abacked Yes40c265.03$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.