Serie A · resolved market
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-01-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x070f0d75fbddb956786221e92d772437ec820d3bbe4a4d7a94d2a4ebb5596a8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 15c | 4,079$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.88 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed No | 74c | 1,984$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.34 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 72c | 1,113$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.78 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a0…05c4backed Yes | 18c | 1,091$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -59%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed No | 74c | 943.09$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.2 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 17c | 882.35$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 27c | 625.93$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 29c | 565$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.85 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 27c | 555.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 24c | 449.42$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.86 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 73c | 418.99$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.13 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 27c | 350$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 26c | 342$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.92 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2683…2be7backed Yes | 17c | 323.53$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes | 27c | 301$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.27 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 27c | 296.3$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 5c | 271.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd6…686fbacked No | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9536…1629backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79e9…6c98backed No | 74c | 220.5$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa06f…90acbacked No | 72c | 218$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 74c | 190$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked No | 72c | 180$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 116 | 66.4%77 W · 39 L | +14.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…a12fbacked Yes | 28c | 179$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 22c | 172.73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 156 | 35.9%56 W · 100 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 12c | 160$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 14c | 156.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239f…8b82backed No | 72c | 154$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 17c | 135$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 207 | 41.5%86 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 27c | 133$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes | 21c | 122.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yes | 27c | 122.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 18c | 110$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 26c | 105$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 188 | 58.5%110 W · 78 L | +16.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc738…7d74backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Yes | 15c | 81.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 74c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b53…a717backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5684…0ea6backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 27c | 74.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…7b6bbacked No | 74c | 74.05$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 26c | 74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x546d…b6f4backed Yes | 23c | 66.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79fc…d0fbbacked No | 77c | 62.61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 26c | 56.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa0…ab7dbacked Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Yes | 27c | 50.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 73c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…35bfbacked No | 72c | 49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…a896backed No | 78c | 44.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked No | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 40.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9da2…ed3abacked No | 73c | 38.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 71c | 33.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a17…5524backed No | 73c | 24.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 70cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 72c | 21.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-01-11?this page
- Will Hellas Verona FC vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?No won
- Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.