TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x94d4…a896

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
255
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Asian League, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 60 out of 100; worst Premier League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT9652.1%50 W · 46 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 96 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Terence Atmanebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.45
Miami Open: Terence Atmane vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.44
Miami Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs Anastasia Zakharovabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Miami Open: Terence Atmane vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$12.58
Murcia: Sebastian Ofner vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Murcia: Jesper de Jong vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Miami Open: Ethan Quinn vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.34
Asuncion: Conner Huertas Del Pino vs Henrique Rochabacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Murcia: Sebastian Ofner vs Frederico Ferreira Silvabacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$13.82
Miami Open, Qualification: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Varvara Lepchenkobacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cherbourg: Pavel Kotov vs Clement Chidekhbacked Clement Chidekh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.79
Kigali 2: Joel Schwaerzler vs Stefano Napolitanobacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cherbourg: Alex Knaff vs Niels Viskerbacked Niels Visker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
BNP Paribas Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$32.29
BNP Paribas Open: Alexander Bublik vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$303
BNP Paribas Open: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Santiago: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Gonzalo Bueno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Cherbourg: Clement Tabur vs Kei Nishikoribacked Kei Nishikori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Hersonissos 2: Tiago Pereira vs Michael Geertsbacked Michael Geerts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
Hersonissos 2: Henry Bernet vs Stefan Dostanicbacked Stefan Dostanic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Kigali 2: Mathys Erhard vs Andrej Martinbacked Andrej Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+63.7%+$12.74
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+56.3%+$34.5
BNP Paribas Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Jack Draperbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$13.29
Brasilia: Adolfo Vallejo vs Facundo Acostabacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+37%+$9.56
BNP Paribas Open: Gael Monfils vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+50.5%+$30.29
Showing 25 of 96 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2763%17 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)backed Sporting CP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$8.42
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Spread: Alanyaspor (-1.5)backed Alanyaspor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.83
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.72
Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Kayserispor win on 2026-03-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$63.41
Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.43
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.94
Will PSV win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+194.1%+$38.82
Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+107.1%+$32.13
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10.55
Galatasaray SK vs. Eyüpspor: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12.42
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
FC Famalicão vs. AVS Futebol: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Kayserispor vs. Kocaelispor: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Casa Pia AC vs. FC Porto: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
AVS Futebol vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+67.8%+$20.33
CD Tondela vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+59.7%+$24.62
Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+67.9%+$13.58
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+61.3%+$11.03
Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Will Göztepe SK win on 2026-01-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick61cpaid-12%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.25
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will CA Osasuna vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+212.5%+$21.25
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+138.1%+$138.1
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+75.4%+$9.81
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+96.1%+$10.57
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-02-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
FC Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+85.2%+$10.22
Will Levante UD win on 2026-01-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Girona FC win on 2026-01-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Burgos CF win on 2026-01-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+28.2%+$15.94
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+29.9%+$19.19
All 21 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cagliari Calcio vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$30.82
Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)backed SSC Napoli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.22
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cagliari Calcio vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+233.3%+$46.67
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+104.1%+$31.22
ACF Fiorentina vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+35.1%+$105.41
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+52.7%+$10.53
Atalanta BC vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$12
US Lecce vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.86
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-01-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+42.9%+$9.9
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-01-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+33.3%+$13.33
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-01-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+29.9%+$10.16
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+28.2%+$9.87
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+37%+$11.1
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50.15
All 20 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1838.9%7 W · 11 L-4.0wins-0.22per pick61cpaid-36.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+49.3%+$24.63
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$10.64
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$18.16
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+92.3%+$10.15
Sunderland AFC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+33.3%+$43
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
All 18 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.83
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$26.6
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+56.5%+$16.95
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+56.3%+$16.88
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$8.78
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-02-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$11.45
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+33.3%+$10
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-01-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+51.5%+$20.61
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
All 15 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1485.7%12 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.24per pick62cpaid+39.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Asian League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+44.9%+$17.97
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10.67
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+85.2%+$10.22
Will NEOM SC win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+85.2%+$10.22
Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+75.4%+$11.32
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-02-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2026-02-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+44.9%+$18.87
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+42.9%+$10.71
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+44.9%+$10.33
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+37%+$7.4
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Inter Milan advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+233%+$69.9
Will Newcastle United advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Páfos FC win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+74.3%+$14.87
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+78.6%+$10.21
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.32
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$23.49
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SK Sigma Olomouc: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$17.5
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+29.9%+$30.37
Will SC Braga win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$20
MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+88.7%+$88.68
KRC Genk vs. Malmö FF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+79%+$47.41
Celtic FC vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT7100%7 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-49.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+177.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$30.56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$46.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+173.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+446.2%+$50.11
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.