TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Athletic Club win on 2026-01-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$194,657
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$216,023

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,657 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5aa…1449backed Yes36c24,359$8,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,716.53540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No58c23,030$13,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,667.7729846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No65c7,209$4,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,552.5263346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes42c6,651$2,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,793.2646048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes35c6,140$2,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,176.1922147.5%105 W · 116 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No58c5,789$3,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,430.331,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd88…3bb0backed Yes42c4,724$1,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,968.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No64c4,247$2,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,531.9558248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No45c4,074$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,254.0234342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked No65c4,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.981457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes36c3,201$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.9138043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61d5…b767backed Yes29c3,122$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.52616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-61.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2607844.9%35 W · 43 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes34c2,343$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.6618160.8%110 W · 71 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Yes42c1,946$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.322544%11 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes39c1,770$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.2629136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ca5…a81dbacked No66c1,364$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.77742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick65cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1867…540bbacked No43c1,353$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.49560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed No2c1,278$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.235829.3%17 W · 41 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick19cpaid+158%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8813…47e6backed No60c1,143$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.342458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No74c1,070$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.31,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes35c1,049$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.085448.1%26 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae47…eba4backed Yes35c1,011$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Yes34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3407631.6%24 W · 52 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3706141%25 W · 36 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34019755.3%109 W · 88 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes35c857.29$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006145.9%28 W · 33 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed No58c831.65$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.869540%38 W · 57 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes35c773.54$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.9959741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes41c768.74$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.1850247.2%237 W · 265 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed No66c697.34$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.5955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes41c691$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.315839.7%23 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes30c613.3$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.0623637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec06…9d24backed Yes33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes42c600$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2524450%22 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Yes45c599.85$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.9323947.7%114 W · 125 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed No58c567.37$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.647146.5%33 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes36c555.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84e5…6d71backed Yes29c535$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.151154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa43…22f3backed Yes14c512.13$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.571735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes25c505.05$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.179754.6%53 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd642…c499backed Yes43c499.98$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.991080%8 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+113.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No65c499.98$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.993759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No53c492.64$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.7835860.6%217 W · 141 L+21.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x31bb…23abbacked Yes40c488.9$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes18c475.13$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.96943.5%30 W · 39 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8034…2463backed No66c454.55$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.553951.3%20 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked No36c449.98$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.9910419.2%20 W · 84 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+41.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked No46c416.6$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.96852.9%36 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No64c412.44$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.484238.1%16 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes34c400$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13622054.1%119 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…80f9backed No9c400$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+292.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc22c…9c02backed No55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb75d…9d01backed No66c374.48$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.32650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes35c369.41$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010736.4%39 W · 68 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed No65c343$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.0529350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes41c326$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.4120947.8%100 W · 109 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x446c…d61fbacked Yes43c313.3$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.72520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-65.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked No42c312.5$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.522748.1%13 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes48c311.93$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.8426443.9%116 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a7…64bfbacked Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes36c300.06$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.5714650.7%74 W · 72 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11413146.6%61 W · 70 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb327…0fccbacked Yes33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes39c300$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1189144%40 W · 51 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed No68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968647.7%41 W · 45 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b9c…2a84backed No30c300$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2101030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a36…4121backed Yes36c296.67$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.82240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Yes34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012843.8%56 W · 72 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked Yes35c290$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.51936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Yes35c286$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.12236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x363b…fb76backed Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No59c256.55$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.1916349.1%80 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes41c250$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.51910.5%2 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed No65c250$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.59547.4%45 W · 50 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd54…2941backed No57c249.98$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.49742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x81e6…02ebbacked Yes40c240.25$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed No57c232.53$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.998150.6%41 W · 40 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Yes14c231.95$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.326817.6%12 W · 56 L-8.3wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-47.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed Yes59c231.45$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.212015%3 W · 17 L-5.7wins-0.28per pick43cpaid-69.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes40c213.48$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.0613931.7%44 W · 95 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed No79c212.4$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.43455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Yes34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685226.9%14 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364334.9%15 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes25c194.56$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.642157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed No63c189.48$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.995018%9 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes36c179.41$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.596248.4%30 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31db…c25fbacked Yes60c179.33$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed No57c177.46$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.314052.5%21 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes60c167.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006547.7%31 W · 34 L-7.7wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-15.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed No51c165$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.33831.6%12 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-39.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1670…2277backed Yes35c160$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9eb…272dbacked No80c156.55$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.09742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdf2…2d63backed No65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.85771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+64.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed No66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.526852.9%36 W · 32 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d33…e208backed No66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.524850%24 W · 24 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes10c151$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.04140%0 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No66c147.06$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5012249.2%60 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.