TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Athletic Club vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,747
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,160

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,747 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked No72c14,645$10,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,10346048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec7…4f48backed Yes28c14,645$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,100728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No57c9,103$5,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,952.681,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes29c3,793$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10015252%79 W · 73 L-11.9wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes37c3,500$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,28521938.4%84 W · 135 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8212…6677backed No72c3,140$2,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.28366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…e6febacked Yes1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202330.4%7 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes28c1,137$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.3620644.7%92 W · 114 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No71c1,075$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31163346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2806141%25 W · 36 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c67…63fcbacked No73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2706159%36 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked No71c999.95$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.993461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No70c957.98$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.021,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes48c889.15$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.0958248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes8c876.72$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0744033.9%149 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes14c828.19$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.460136.9%222 W · 379 L-28.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes24c625$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011737.6%44 W · 73 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc490…6507backed No71c620$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.82334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-46.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No71c604.82$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.414953%79 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67a8…1f1ebacked Yes51c575.9$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Yes60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002934.5%10 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1cf…9656backed Yes27c400$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1088626.7%23 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x69a6…7a2cbacked Yes32c353.3$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.072445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012843.8%56 W · 72 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013234.1%45 W · 87 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes29c343.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7612644.4%56 W · 70 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes29c340$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.68032.5%26 W · 54 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No30c326.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.3224963.1%157 W · 92 L+45.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No74c306.66$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.6334342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Yes29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878647.7%41 W · 45 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed No72c296.14$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.923151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x626f…cdfabacked No72c292$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.761942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed No26c288.3$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.36817.6%12 W · 56 L-8.3wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-47.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Yes78c287.69$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.84714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.41per pick56cpaid-81%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6f06…980bbacked Yes29c275.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+72.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d7c…6780backed Yes68c269.46$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed No48c262.5$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.53455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No74c252.87$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.956259.7%37 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes34c248$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.0439743.3%172 W · 225 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6771…b783backed No72c243.06$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.064656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed No71c229.98$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.69966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564334.9%15 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1cc…f7d4backed Yes29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No71c176.03$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9659741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No74c166.09$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9723637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed No32c153.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.231643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cb…2087backed Yes70c153.86$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.891533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-41.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xab6f…067bbacked Yes24c150$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36100%0 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa877…439ebacked Yes65c135.28$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.831662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda1e…f6a4backed Yes80c125$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No72c121$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.886659.1%39 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+50.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed No72c118.15$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.081450%7 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes25c118.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.529540%38 W · 57 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes31c113.55$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.220643.2%89 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No68c113.29$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.16943.5%30 W · 39 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Yes55c111$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.559246.7%43 W · 49 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bfb…9f00backed No72c110.35$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.351392.3%12 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick73cpaid+25.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9d9…2f4abacked No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479546.3%44 W · 51 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2320639.3%81 W · 125 L+25.6wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+43.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No72c98.12$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7821460.7%130 W · 84 L+21.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked No71c90$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.16250%31 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08b6…09d9backed Yes28c89.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2550%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf3ac…f23dbacked No57c87.71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.722245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No65c82.7$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9220343.3%88 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31db…c25fbacked Yes55c79.45$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e9d…527bbacked Yes51c76.63$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.082152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No73c75.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.526076.7%46 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick74cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x195e…5b32backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6985…afdfbacked Yes58c69.31$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-52.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202416.7%4 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x470f…9732backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd302…0311backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7cc…2833backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-40.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes41c65.23$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9133851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes27c64.8$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.514650.7%74 W · 72 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9df…57c2backed Yes78c64.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.12955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a63…b752backed Yes29c61.36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0e7…54c9backed Yes53c60.56$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1e…caa1backed No58c58.15$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.491675%12 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Yes27c56.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.395534.5%19 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed No72c55.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.186867.6%46 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e45…3060backed Yes28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1861…d25abacked Yes29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1550%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1411070%77 W · 33 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Yes27c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2511153.2%59 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020667.5%139 W · 67 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba1…1703backed Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126038.3%23 W · 37 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.810647.2%50 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd215…7471backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e50…7a6bbacked Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2526…9f68backed Yes29c49.24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.28540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+33.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No72c43.79$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4113759.1%81 W · 56 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x035f…b2ccbacked Yes77c42.53$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+20.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Yes29c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.62147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+65.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x724c…1521backed Yes29c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.62864.3%18 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd104…7c02backed Yes51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208142%34 W · 47 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb15…cbdabacked Yes51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-54.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9419…a40fbacked Yes76c35.32$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.71050%5 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+61%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.