TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x67a8…1f1e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
121
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NFL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 57 out of 100; worst Champions League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT3946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 139.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.25
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$562Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$561.8
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$354.71
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$198.25
Spread: Florida Gators (-10.5)backed Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$193.64
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-2.5)backed Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.27
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 139.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.26
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-6.5)backed Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$358.96
Wright State Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 160.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$179.49
Wright State Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Wright State Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.84
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-2.5)backed Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$324.7
Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-2.5)backed Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$313.72
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-30.5)backed Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$99.13
Louisville Cardinals vs. SMU Mustangsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$119.97
Houston Cougars vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+81.9%+$163.76
Grambling State Tigers vs. Prairie View A&M Panthersbacked Prairie View A&M Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+176.9%+$176.87
Towson Tigers vs. Monmouth Hawksbacked Monmouth Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+190.7%+$381.34
Seton Hall Pirates vs. Butler Bulldogsbacked Butler Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Eastern Kentucky Colonels vs. North Alabama Lionsbacked North Alabama Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+135.7%+$135.65
Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Santa Clara Broncosbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+60.6%+$135.47
California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Tech Trailblazersbacked Utah Tech Trailblazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+41%+$41
Stanford Cardinal vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+112.8%+$245.04
Illinois State Redbirds vs. Murray State Racersbacked Murray State Racers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$199.74
Belmont Bruins vs. Valparaiso Beaconsbacked Belmont Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+160.3%+$293.12
California Golden Bears vs. Florida State Seminolesbacked California Golden Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT3053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+29.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$442.99
Magic vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 112.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+133.1%+$257.16
1H Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.14
Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$201.79
Spread: Suns (-12.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$484.67
Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: 1H Moneylinebacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+493.6%+$145.21
Thunder vs. Wizards: 1H Moneylinebacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$113.71
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+117.4%+$202.11
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+163.2%+$168.92
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Clippers vs. Rockets: 1H Moneylinebacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Wizards vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 122.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+122.5%+$306.32
Magic vs. Heat: 1H Moneylinebacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$200
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$299.45
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+92.4%+$208.29
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+354.5%+$780
Celtics vs. Bullsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Lakers vs. Mavericks: 1H Moneylinebacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+92.3%+$129.23
Cavaliers vs. Magic: 1H O/U 110.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+75.4%+$62.61
Knicks vs. 76ers: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+132.6%+$263.79
Raptors vs. Trail Blazers: 1H Moneylinebacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$67.56
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT2343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$696Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$695.74
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.5
Canucks vs. Oilersbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.63
Canucks vs. Sharksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+150%+$450
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+127.2%+$227.83
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Canucks vs. Kingsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Golden Knights vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$326.32
Spread: Stars (-1.5)backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$616Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$412.37
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+114.9%+$98.34
Penguins vs. Devilsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$192.16
Oilers vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+188.1%+$180.72
Maple Leafs vs. Kingsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.41
Utah vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Jets vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.82
Jets vs. Avalanchebacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+130.1%+$368.12
Sabres vs. Kingsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+175.7%+$614.83
Avalanche vs. Senatorsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$214
Sharks vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Sharks vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$92.19
Devils vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+75.4%+$34.93
Lightning vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$64
All 23 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-38%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.84
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.8
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$523Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$522.98
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.84
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$346.17
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+157.9%+$551.95
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$489Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$451.65
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+79.3%+$351.11
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.91
Athletics vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.2
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)backed Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.82
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankeesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.94
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$13.75
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.15
Cincinnati Reds vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$551Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$551.22
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+107.8%+$209.06
All 16 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+37.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Ben Shelton vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$551Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$550.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.