TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 139.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$602,923
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$611,428

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $602,923 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 285 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Over49c200,000$98,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97,999.7989645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Under51c140,513$71,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68,851.621149.3%104 W · 107 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf1…86b5backed Over49c75,405$36,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,948.451145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c62,013$29,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,626.7112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Under51c58,236$29,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,535.648145.7%37 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbe4…9bcfbacked Under50c33,586$16,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,792.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfed8…4388backed Under50c19,158$9,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,578.752653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Over49c15,572$7,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,630.54551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over51c15,225$7,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,764.8944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under51c14,455$7,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,083.0217643.8%77 W · 99 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Under51c13,585$6,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,706.081241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under51c12,895$6,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,318.7335147.6%167 W · 184 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over45c12,555$5,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,711.553,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over48c12,470$5,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,985.7636944.2%163 W · 206 L-19.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Under53c11,797$6,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,555.04966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under51c10,732$5,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,258.517742.9%76 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71e1…45f0backed Over50c10,151$5,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,041.555437%20 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over44c6,505$2,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,893.5333438.9%130 W · 204 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Under51c5,805$2,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,844.533943.6%17 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under51c5,340$2,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,610.993655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over48c4,839$2,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,334.662846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under51c4,758$2,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,331.3419958.3%116 W · 83 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfc38…1e98backed Under53c4,581$2,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,153.234654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over40c4,283$1,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,713.0315557.4%89 W · 66 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under51c4,177$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,047.611656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x701d…57f9backed Under52c4,141$2,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,987.52560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over49c4,000$1,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9682,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c3,974$1,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,023.071,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0437…30f4backed Over50c3,941$1,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,990.011361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+24.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under50c3,153$1,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,576.2515858.2%92 W · 66 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x29a5…7752backed Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+31.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8188…b171backed Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5005933.9%20 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Under49c2,400$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2246336.5%23 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under68c2,244$1,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.838754%47 W · 40 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1f1…2d5fbacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x06e8…4675backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-58.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd925…f36fbacked Under49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8ad…c303backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69dc…0cf5backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Under51c1,949$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.891283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick59cpaid+45.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under50c1,940$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97022349.3%110 W · 113 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Under77c1,919$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.532958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under51c1,784$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.1311456.1%64 W · 50 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Under52c1,630$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.6411850%59 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under51c1,601$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.281163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over47c1,406$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.171,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x121f…4765backed Over53c1,364$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.661250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over44c1,346$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.1646246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8d7…3e75backed Under52c1,335$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.821020%2 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-63.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under51c1,142$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.5224847.6%118 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb085…7b10backed Under49c1,123$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.951050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over49c1,100$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.9914447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over49c1,086$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.01728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-43.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaad5…ac2ebacked Over62c1,035$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.519745.4%44 W · 53 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+18.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe757…c161backed Over10c1,017$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.68616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-67.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3054…699bbacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4651…5923backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8cc…015bbacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008254.9%45 W · 37 L+6.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over48c999.99$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48013936.7%51 W · 88 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x141d…7ea0backed Over49c976.65$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under51c973.24$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.826765.7%44 W · 23 L+8.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Under53c971.8$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.754257.1%24 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under51c919.69$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.658246.3%38 W · 44 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over41c902.54$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.261,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Over49c893.23$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.581163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Over57c888.21$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.152330.4%7 W · 16 L-6.1wins-0.26per pick57cpaid-46.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under52c840.46$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.42728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-44.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb007…21f2backed Under42c834.68$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed Over60c813.33$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4881546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d91…bb2abacked Under50c795.4$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.71741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Under51c776.48$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.4826740.8%109 W · 158 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Under51c761.25$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.01757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over48c743.23$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.75911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick41cpaid-78.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over49c689.67$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.579154.9%50 W · 41 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over50c607.84$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.923650%18 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d0d…7435backed Over40c589.05$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.6250%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Under51c582.36$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.363548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Under51c571.16$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.874052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x771d…e0ebbacked Over51c570.94$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.18977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+47.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Over48c564.93$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.712254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Under51c560.91$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.858845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over44c551.27$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.1622250%111 W · 111 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Over43c520.66$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.884831.3%15 W · 33 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over22c500$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10950%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb73…7e32backed Under45c485.43$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f79…1608backed Under50c485$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.51450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Under60c467.51$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.764719.1%9 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-58.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Under42c459.73$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.693372.7%24 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x354f…95f8backed Over51c443.6$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.76757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Under51c436.77$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.029050%45 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Under51c417.3$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.488361.4%51 W · 32 L+9.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under45c409.61$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.34650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292a…5d78backed Under51c401.56$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.77425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4d…0486backed Under50c391.95$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.34728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3d8…c0f2backed Under51c388.24$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.241492.9%13 W · 1 L+5.3wins+0.38per pick55cpaid+72.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Under51c388.24$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.243455.9%19 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Under50c388$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19414447.2%68 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Under51c378.53$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.483056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under51c369.45$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.0317258.7%101 W · 71 L+14.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.