TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf1f1…2d5f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
308
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: NBA, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 61 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT3154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-1.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$519.99
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 139.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 151.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$490
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 140.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 134.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$530
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 164.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 137.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$470
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 154.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.68
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 137.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,148Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,148
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$279.01
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,671Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,542.23
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 140.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$980
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 151.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+97.3%+$127.52
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 161.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$113.47
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-20.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$316.04
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-2.5)backed Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$212
Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-13.5)backed California Baptist Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$339.11
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 131.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$505Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+98%+$495
Queens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 163.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$178.74
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigers: O/U 128.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$516.64
LIU Sharks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 150.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$480
Howard Bison vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.95
Troy Trojans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Troy Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,029Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+71.9%+$739.38
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$101.59
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$50.74
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$29.11
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.57
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+122.2%+$61.11
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+75.4%+$20.37
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+169.3%+$142.1
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$28.07
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+66.7%+$26.67
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+81.8%+$36
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+163.2%+$29.4
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Qairat FK: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+81.8%+$44.98
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+132.6%+$66.28
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+88.7%+$62.08
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT2669.2%18 W · 8 L+4.9wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+45.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+50.1%+$115.22
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$82.99
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Magic vs. Heatbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$20.25
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+72.4%+$80.38
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+87.9%+$61.56
Bulls vs. Raptorsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Celtics vs. Rocketsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+177.8%+$30.22
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Celtics vs. Mavericksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+42.9%+$51.43
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
76ers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+69.5%+$81.99
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+47.1%+$28.24
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+117.4%+$45.13
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+69.5%+$31.27
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$27.06
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+300%+$39.18
Bulls vs. Hornetsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Lakers vs. Grizzliesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$55
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$63
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$43
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.5
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$88.67
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$105
Will Julian Alvarez score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.5
Will Julian Alvarez score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$7.09
Will Switzerland reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$999Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$999.44
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$368.54
Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$26.27
Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Will Senegal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$47.66
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.97
Will Senegal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Germany go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$625Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+300%+$1,875
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,800
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+169.5%+$471.66
Will the announcers say "Messi" during the Norway Vs Senegal FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$5.25
Mo Touré: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.53
Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 24 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT2360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+20.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Movies — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will "Swapped" be the top global Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.55
Will "War Machine" be the top global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.51
Will "Love is Blind: The Reunion" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+227.9%+$69.5
Will "Chalamet" be said 5+ times at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.59
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+218.4%+$39
Will "Hottest" be said at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.48
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$21.5
Will "Dream Big" be said at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.86
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+89.3%+$98.5
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Will Ariana Grande win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Sinners win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+96.1%+$24.02
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+106.6%+$159.92
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+110.9%+$51.88
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$43
All 23 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-46.3%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.52
Katana FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$94.54
Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+59.3%+$40.34
Aztec FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10.85
Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Trove FDV above $40M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+49.3%+$98.51
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$29.8
Will Infinex launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$89
Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$38.8
Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+127.3%+$190.91
Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+300%+$300
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 20? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Pump.fun market cap (FDV) <$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$60
Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+67.5%+$6.75
Hyperliquid all time high before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 23 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-36.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roma qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Roma finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.83
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
FC Internazionale Milano vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+187.4%+$271.67
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+51.5%+$25.76
Hellas Verona FC vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+35.1%+$35.14
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+25%+$25
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+53.8%+$14
AC Milan vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$39.5
Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+33.3%+$13.33
Will Fiorentina win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Inter win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+38.9%+$38.89
Spread: Inter (-1.5)backed Inter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Napoli vs. Como: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
Will Udinese vs. Atalanta end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+37%+$12.95
Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Atalanta win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$6.43
All 22 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Big Game: Odd/Even Total Pointsbacked Even · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+112.8%+$28.19
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+45.9%+$100.97
Big Game: Coin Tossbacked Tails · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will the Broncos win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$13.68
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+100%+$30
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+244.8%+$25.22
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$17.51
Bears vs. Packersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+100%+$35
Buccaneers vs. Billsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$23.2
Colts vs. Steelersbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$80
49ers vs. Texansbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Vikings vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$10.57
Rams vs. Jaguarsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$41.69
Seahawks vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Vikings vs. Brownsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$9
Ravens vs. Chiefsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Lions vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Broncos vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$23.17
Falcons vs. Panthersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+96.1%+$38.43
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$30.12
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+44.9%+$19.77
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+69.5%+$69.49
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$125
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+112.8%+$57.76
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+85.2%+$34.07
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$14.57
Tottenham vs. Chelsea: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$53
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.79
Liverpool vs. Manchester United: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$79.21
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
All 21 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$47.28
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $95B by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$68.96
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$62.63
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$38
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+36.8%+$25.73
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 11 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.12
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$17.11
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.75
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.87
Will 'Kiss All The Time. Disco, Occasionally' - Harry Styles debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.42
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+90.7%+$72.59
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$92.43
Taylor Swift holds top ten spots on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+43.5%+$15.21
All 8 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-40.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-42.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick68cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+69.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+68.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-66.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+171%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+162.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Mariners Series Winnerbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+496.1%+$153.79
Phillies vs. Dodgers Series Winnerbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$105
Mets vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
All 3 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-20.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+42.9%+$21.43
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+42.6%+$42.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Europe win the 2025 Ryder Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$61.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+69.5%+$17.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Red Wingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+63.9%+$31.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oklahoma vs. Tennesseebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.