AI · resolved market
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57fa09373e78720fbe390d8bf873fd06f8fb3bb27b781bf12309f2f85ba23871
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,950
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,950 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab51…2473backed Yes | 18c | 6,588$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.86 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed No | 75c | 3,658$2,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.12 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 20c | 3,417$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.99 | 107 | 23.4%25 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes | 4c | 1,874$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.26 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…a7d1backed Yes | 24c | 1,743$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.24 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…36c4backed Yes | 25c | 1,741$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.32 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes | 15c | 1,624$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.72 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b965backed Yes | 20c | 1,608$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.61 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x779d…169fbacked Yes | 49c | 1,436$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.3 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed Yes | 18c | 1,381$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.55 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c18…a04cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,347$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f8…6b50backed Yes | 23c | 1,300$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…16c0backed No | 77c | 1,229$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.54 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4f…f7e8backed Yes | 20c | 1,150$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5732…b57cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,097$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.29 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked No | 79c | 980.34$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.59 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bf…bc05backed Yes | 23c | 838.04$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 5c | 820.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 415 | 7.2%30 W · 385 L | -26.1wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked No | 77c | 788$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.24 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13dc…09fdbacked No | 77c | 745.73$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 21c | 719.19$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.65 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc827…6c25backed Yes | 34c | 644.74$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked No | 71c | 625.33$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.9 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 39cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf6…50e2backed No | 72c | 599.99$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 7c | 550.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…a7febacked Yes | 23c | 529.15$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked Yes | 15c | 523.33$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 22c | 461.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.97 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…e985backed Yes | 23c | 449.97$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.49 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a3…076ebacked Yes | 3c | 437.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…914ebacked No | 76c | 435.89$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.02 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 75c | 425.82$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.68 | 256 | 32.8%84 W · 172 L | -24.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x807c…f1e3backed Yes | 25c | 399.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -57%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1c…852cbacked Yes | 25c | 384.6$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 6c | 369.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 138 | 8%11 W · 127 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed No | 72c | 365.79$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.28 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…2997backed No | 69c | 361$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 6c | 355.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca0…e59dbacked No | 54c | 355.4$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.86 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 58c | 339$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.17 | 178 | 24.2%43 W · 135 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 24c | 337.13$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.15 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b7…2ddcbacked Yes | 18c | 284.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222a…d5afbacked Yes | 8c | 280$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 77c | 278.12$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.09 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c48…5456backed Yes | 22c | 273.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.91 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3d…9220backed Yes | 34c | 268.11$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 20c | 254.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.37 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…225ebacked No | 69c | 252.99$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…286dbacked No | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 24c | 249.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 204 | 18.6%38 W · 166 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 9c | 246.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1d…ca4cbacked No | 76c | 245.93$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.83 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…5db6backed No | 64c | 240.06$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 8c | 240$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 31c | 221.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.82 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 14c | 221.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5b…3deabacked Yes | 10c | 208.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a8…865abacked Yes | 18c | 207$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked No | 77c | 200$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…0b14backed Yes | 11c | 199.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdeb…30d3backed Yes | 18c | 198.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f1…2d5fbacked No | 76c | 197.28$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b9…433ebacked No | 64c | 193.8$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0526…5585backed No | 61c | 177.65$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b95…235cbacked No | 60c | 177.25$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f8…369bbacked No | 60c | 171.58$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa65…9c64backed No | 67c | 171.41$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 8c | 170$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac77…1566backed No | 65c | 169.07$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 9c | 166.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 220 | 19.5%43 W · 177 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…3c5abacked No | 75c | 165.5$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 24c | 165$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 251 | 22.7%57 W · 194 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…5d92backed No | 75c | 162.73$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes | 15c | 159.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.17per pick | 21cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…20a1backed No | 72c | 157.03$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 23c | 149.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 144 | 23.6%34 W · 110 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…5c85backed No | 79c | 149.37$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…f2ecbacked Yes | 34c | 149.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 10c | 147.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -21.7wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…b413backed No | 78c | 143.76$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf040…d252backed No | 72c | 142.79$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc81…1dbebacked No | 79c | 141.77$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7954…aacbbacked No | 79c | 138.7$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd920…61a9backed No | 75c | 133.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e12…18dcbacked No | 76c | 131.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…1e18backed No | 78c | 131.54$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…fc31backed No | 78c | 131.24$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a9…6e3fbacked No | 77c | 131.18$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa92b…5734backed No | 76c | 130.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed No | 77c | 129.67$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…0c58backed No | 78c | 129.11$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0076…490fbacked No | 78c | 128.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x143e…6bc6backed No | 78c | 127.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 16c | 126.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -20.8wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 77c | 121.46$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d7…2945backed No | 77c | 121.32$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5241…927bbacked No | 79c | 115.95$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d8d9backed No | 77c | 114.29$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?this page
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?Yes won
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?Yes won
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?No won
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?No won
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $925B by June 30?Yes won
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?Yes won
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by June 30?Yes won
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $750B by June 30?No won
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?No won
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $875B by June 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.