AI · resolved market
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ea81f1ee87b0f3f62cf6553304820aa8ad69e25b2078d62e7f77f0c65ed54ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $138,640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 388 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f63…f247backed No | 25c | 14,802$3,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,751.14 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…36c4backed Yes | 68c | 6,487$4,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.55 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed Yes | 43c | 6,242$2,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,526.71 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd317…025abacked Yes | 72c | 2,151$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bc…81cebacked No | 71c | 2,011$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5669…0f13backed Yes | 32c | 1,994$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.08 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed Yes | 47c | 1,856$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 40c | 1,733$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.29 | 178 | 24.2%43 W · 135 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…8416backed Yes | 61c | 1,564$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.47 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x936e…473fbacked Yes | 48c | 1,552$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.6 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.28per pick | 51cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfe…1190backed Yes | 60c | 1,501$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed Yes | 33c | 1,450$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.13 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4f…f7e8backed Yes | 26c | 1,403$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb13…2de9backed Yes | 77c | 1,330$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e34…9434backed Yes | 60c | 1,237$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed No | 60c | 1,218$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.17 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 64c | 1,212$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.52 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 32c | 1,203$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.32 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a07…1d4dbacked Yes | 62c | 1,146$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…30abbacked Yes | 48c | 1,142$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 54c | 1,101$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505 | 107 | 23.4%25 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…a7d1backed Yes | 48c | 1,010$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.4 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb905…1640backed Yes | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf2…31f0backed Yes | 37c | 966.13$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.69 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.45per pick | 38cpaid | +149.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 52c | 894.7$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.44 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7e…f37ebacked Yes | 49c | 855.93$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.67 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 31c | 853.65$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.91 | 207 | 31.9%66 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…16c0backed No | 56c | 849.63$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.71 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes | 59c | 840.18$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.9 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 69c | 838.43$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.13 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 54c | 796.3$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.39 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed Yes | 54c | 714.77$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb24c…eefebacked Yes | 61c | 699.98$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dc…35f9backed Yes | 42c | 698.99$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb492…12dabacked No | 51c | 673.24$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.5 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe215…a3d9backed Yes | 43c | 672.73$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 32c | 672.29$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.22 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -21.7wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x779d…169fbacked Yes | 74c | 614.63$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.18 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…f4f5backed No | 33c | 612.3$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf6…50e2backed No | 41c | 606.66$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked Yes | 16c | 595$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.7 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed No | 51c | 590$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.48 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked No | 31c | 559.99$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7658…e770backed Yes | 33c | 557.64$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…08d8backed No | 37c | 541.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.29 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.28per pick | 49cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb3…51c8backed No | 61c | 500$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8d…6724backed No | 56c | 499.97$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.99 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e5…7134backed No | 27c | 499.97$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…914ebacked Yes | 57c | 488.38$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.06 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…a7febacked No | 25c | 466.77$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.7 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8866…a584backed Yes | 57c | 461.11$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 63c | 445.8$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.61 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed No | 43c | 444.45$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.27 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcc…12a6backed No | 38c | 438.44$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd8…1de3backed Yes | 58c | 414.69$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe24…5d95backed Yes | 80c | 413.3$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked No | 12c | 408.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…31f5backed No | 32c | 404.44$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.11 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…5fb0backed Yes | 72c | 404.24$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.25 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6607…5bd9backed No | 69c | 402.91$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.86 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd173…1b86backed Yes | 70c | 400$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe7…ffc9backed Yes | 62c | 390.93$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 21c | 388.89$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.21 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc66b…02aabacked No | 22c | 388.89$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.56 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 36cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…9e36backed No | 72c | 384.7$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.75 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Yes | 51c | 379.17$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.85 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 39cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1abe…f19fbacked Yes | 48c | 376.49$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2cb…43eebacked No | 19c | 366.61$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…7eabbacked Yes | 61c | 364.86$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.16 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +55%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1d…ca4cbacked Yes | 60c | 362.53$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.05 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…397dbacked Yes | 72c | 360.77$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.6 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1df…1d2fbacked Yes | 58c | 353.52$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 27cpaid | +116.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c18…a04cbacked Yes | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked No | 25c | 317.57$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 56c | 314.03$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.14 | 415 | 7.2%30 W · 385 L | -26.1wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…fe47backed No | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe472…e7ebbacked Yes | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e59…ff78backed No | 56c | 299.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…8d07backed Yes | 78c | 295.98$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4c…d5dbbacked Yes | 54c | 281.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…f37ebacked No | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe693…309cbacked Yes | 74c | 277.63$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecee…2120backed Yes | 37c | 271.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 44c | 270.89$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.77 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6091…21fdbacked Yes | 80c | 253.99$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed No | 56c | 253.28$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.31 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27b9…90d0backed Yes | 54c | 251.11$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1db…31d4backed Yes | 79c | 241.62$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 60c | 225.34$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.2 | 322 | 28.9%93 W · 229 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed No | 34c | 225.31$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.61 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 62c | 225$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c77…1bfebacked Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 49c | 216.74$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 251 | 22.7%57 W · 194 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…a899backed Yes | 38c | 210.53$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes | 46c | 210$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.7 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 62c | 208.35$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.26 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddef…d52bbacked Yes | 79c | 206.3$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f0…1e62backed No | 74c | 200$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7d…cb08backed No | 71c | 200$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?this page
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?Yes won
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?No won
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?No won
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?No won
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $925B by June 30?Yes won
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?Yes won
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by June 30?Yes won
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $750B by June 30?No won
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?No won
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $875B by June 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.