TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5b7d…cb08

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
322
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: La Liga, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 52 out of 100; worst AI at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT16847%79 W · 89 L-11.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 168 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the announcers say "Ticket" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" 5+ times during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.5
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$49.8
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$16.4
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.52
Will 7+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.39
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.25
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.75
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will the announcers say "Fan" 5+ times during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.59
Will the announcers say "Shot" 20+ times during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the announcers say "USA" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.14
Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will the announcers say "Qatar" or "Russia" during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.72
Will the announcers say "Shot" 10+ times during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$12.6
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.1
Showing 25 of 168 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT4355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of July 20 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of July 20 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of July 20 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$12.71
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,950 Week of July 13 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 Week of July 13 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of July 13 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 14?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $58 Week of July 13 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 Week of June 29 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.24
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.75
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,950 Week of June 29 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.92
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $70 on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 Week of June 22 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of June 22 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.7
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of June 22 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of June 22 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$36
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $61 Week of June 22 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+173%+$38.94
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of June 22 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.6
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of June 22 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of June 22 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 22?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+92.8%+$19.73
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 22?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $77 on June 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $76 on June 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT4245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Raphael Collignon vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Winston-Salem Open: James Duckworth vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
US Open, Qualification ATP: Sebastian Ofner vs Kei Nishikoribacked Kei Nishikori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$19.2
Augsburg: Benjamin Hassan vs Juan Manuel La Sernabacked Benjamin Hassan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.48
Winston-Salem Open: Roman Safiullin vs Hugo Grenierbacked Hugo Grenier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$24.8
US Open, Qualification WTA: Caroline Dolehide vs Veronika Podrezbacked Caroline Dolehide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
Set Handicap: Dolehide (-1.5) vs Podrez (+1.5)backed Dolehide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Philadelphia: Talia Gibson vs Lizette Cabrerabacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$89
Monterrey Open: Camila Osorio vs Ann Libacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
US Open, Qualification ATP: Spencer Johnson vs Cristian Garinbacked Spencer Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.7
US Open, Qualification ATP: Marco Cecchinato vs Liam Broadybacked Liam Broady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Daniel Rinconbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.4
Philadelphia: Veronika Erjavec vs Julia Grabherbacked Julia Grabher · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$50.4
US Open, Qualification WTA: Kayla Day vs Julieta Parejabacked Kayla Day · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.24
US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Sramkova vs Alevtina Ibragimovabacked Rebecca Sramkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.2
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoebacked Lorenzo Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergsbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22
Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
Cincinnati Open: Peyton Stearns vs Clara Tausonbacked Clara Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.8
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fery vs James Duckworthbacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$28.79
Cincinnati Open: Luciano Darderi vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungellitibacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.48
Cincinnati Open: Xinyu Wang vs Hanne Vandewinkelbacked Xinyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2744.4%12 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-29.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Golf — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mackenzie Hughes finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.17
Will Kevin Yu finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$27.77
Will David Skinns finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$4.1
Will Luke List finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will Blades Brown finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Will Davis Bryant finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$26.8
Will Benjamin James finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.4
Will Tommy Fleetwood finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Rico Hoey finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$37.88
Will Chad Ramey finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Christiaan Bezuidenhout finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.4
Will Joel Girrbach finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$6.7
Will Marcus Kinhult finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will Ze-Cheng Dou finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
Will Kensei Hirata finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will Adam Hadwin finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will Manuel Elvira finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.2
Will Danny Walker finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will Stephan Jaeger finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$27.2
Will Viktor Hovland finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Will Tommy Fleetwood finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Will Collin Morikawa finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.4
Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Will Sam Burns finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Will Matt Fitzpatrick finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.9
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-27.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.35per pick49cpaid-74.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid+66.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 3 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-52.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+82.6%+$55.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+63.6%+$17.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tyler Bell be drafted in the top 10 in the 2026 MLB Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Blackstone (BX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.