Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of July 20 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9711779ab1a494d5df12baca7196527e317250a6ca03b1460408a1a24afd0b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 67c | 1,900$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271 | 942 | 40.2%379 W · 563 L | -69.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked No | 35c | 1,534$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.9 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Yes | 39c | 1,338$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.82 | 310 | 34.8%108 W · 202 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f3…844ebacked Yes | 21c | 1,175$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.9 | 308 | 39%120 W · 188 L | +20.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…3ec3backed No | 70c | 591.21$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.64 | 292 | 64%187 W · 105 L | +47.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1424…2c7fbacked Yes | 20c | 537.91$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…a899backed Yes | 38c | 527.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.26 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72cb…5962backed Yes | 64c | 484$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.28 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…4d55backed Yes | 46c | 447.92$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.96 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 42c | 441$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.01 | 140 | 31.4%44 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe2…bb3fbacked Yes | 26c | 388.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.93 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 15c | 372.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 1,032 | 9.3%96 W · 936 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e45…3662backed No | 79c | 329.7$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 35c | 321.95$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.04 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed Yes | 65c | 281.62$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.57 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +34.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…5f77backed No | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.15 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Yes | 14c | 240.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.8 | 1,286 | 24.2%311 W · 975 L | -58.4wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8251…879dbacked No | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0719…8413backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda5…e16dbacked Yes | 23c | 141.85$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.89 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | +11.5wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 38c | 104.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 241 | 26.1%63 W · 178 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…806ebacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 64 | 75%48 W · 16 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x403f…94f1backed Yes | 36c | 94.04$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.34 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5154…a301backed Yes | 18c | 83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.47 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +13.2wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xadb5…4d50backed Yes | 65c | 69.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf4…39b2backed Yes | 49c | 65.27$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6810…38a3backed No | 69c | 62.35$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…ec11backed Yes | 66c | 60.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd71c…20b3backed No | 35c | 59.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed No | 57c | 56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a86…f8e8backed Yes | 68c | 56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -54%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2072…ede6backed Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed Yes | 28c | 49.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x126e…c360backed No | 43c | 48.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed No | 60c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked No | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +120.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc15…cca6backed No | 74c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…531bbacked Yes | 63c | 39.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…76fabacked Yes | 76c | 35.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…f6c9backed No | 77c | 26.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7d…cb08backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 72c | 16.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 1,051 | 34.7%365 W · 686 L | -93.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of July 20 2026?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of July 20 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of July 20 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of July 20 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of July 20 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 Week of July 20 2026?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of July 20 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of July 20 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of July 20 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.