TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x126e…c360

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
288
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: World Politics, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 58 out of 100; worst IPO at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT5438.9%21 W · 33 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,150 Week of August 3 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will there be between 37 and 39 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.19
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+152%+$21.86
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.14
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+28%+$5.37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.63
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.63
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+115.4%+$42.7
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+88.9%+$15.07
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.95
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$73.61
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $83 on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$20.42
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $82 on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+196%+$41.16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+274.3%+$80.16
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 Week of July 27 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of July 27 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+145.7%+$23.26
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.11
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
AIlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT4420.5%9 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-35.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$32.44
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Did a valve or plumbing failure cause the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Did an engine failure cause the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.44
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.29
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.61
Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.42
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.15T by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.36
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.44
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.23
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.64
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+109.1%+$22.91
Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.99
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.45
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+335.6%+$43.91
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.07
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.83
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.9
Intel (INTC) Q2 adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP) 38%-40%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+80.6%+$12.1
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.48
Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+895.5%+$90.27
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT4334.9%15 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+158%+$42.65
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.34
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.21
Will Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+40%+$6
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.31
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.37
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+135.2%+$13.91
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.22
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.54
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+110.3%+$24.87
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.18
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+186%+$29.47
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.14
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.46
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.34
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.84
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+286.6%+$45.67
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.17
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.67
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.98
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.99
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$4.21
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.03
Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$10.84
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT2646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+141.6%+$28.21
Will White House post 200+ posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+275%+$30.21
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$14
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+189.8%+$51.62
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.34
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+162.1%+$23.75
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.08
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+206.1%+$27.81
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.99
Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+237.9%+$32.3
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will Elon post "Neuralink" on X this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$3.05
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$10.45
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.56
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.91
Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$9.57
Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$9.6
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.99
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.84
Will White House post 200+ posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$13
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+57.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Earnings — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MarketAxess (MKTX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+117%+$18.48
Will Datadog (DDOG) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.41
Will US Foods (USFD) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
Will MetLife (MET) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.38
Will Occidental Petroleum (OXY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.11
Will IonQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Chime Financial (CHYM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.45
Will ZoomInfo Technologies (GTM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.66
Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.49
Will Pinterest (PINS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+170.7%+$27.24
Will Paramount Skydance (PSKY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will ON Semiconductor (ON) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.74
Will Powell Industries (POWL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+205.3%+$47.22
Will Marriott (MAR) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.18
Will Franklin Resources (BEN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.23
Will Rivian Automotive (RIVN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.24
Will Virtu Financial (VIRT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+925.6%+$124.94
Will Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.54
Will IMAX (IMAX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.42
Will Blackstone (BX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$46.89
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+418.5%+$62.77
All 21 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Botond Fülöp be the next President of Hungary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$9.57
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+137.9%+$23.43
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$8.92
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+170.4%+$27.25
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.53
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Will John Stevens get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$4.24
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election by at least 15%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$8.52
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+403.7%+$50.45
Will there be no next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.02
Will Lucy Powell be the next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.67
Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will Wes Streeting be the next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+72.8%+$10.56
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.89
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+80.3%+$9.33
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+59%+$10.03
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.89
Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.82
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 20 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-67.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
IPO — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3.5T yuan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.21
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.08
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.24
Will Mark Juncosa be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.35
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.38
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 9 picks, newest first.
Musiclast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+49.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+397.1%+$65.3
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 250k and 300k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+289.5%+$59.53
Will "I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.98
Will "Music, Fashion, Film" - Charli XCX first week album sales be greater than 80k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.11
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$9.64
Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.9
All 8 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick32cpaid-81.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Matiasheve by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.09
Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Andrii Sybiha appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Foreign Affairs by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.12
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.15
Will Russia target Kyiv by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.46
Will Mykhailo Drapatyi be appointed as the next Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 8 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick44cpaid+71.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-82.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-40.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+52.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+120.6%+$20.49
Team Spoon vs. Team Coop: O/U 279.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dallas Wings vs. New York Libertybacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$19.33
All 3 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+233.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$68
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-07-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vancouver Whitecaps FC to score first vs. FC Cincinnati?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$18.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Cody Garbrandt vs. Adrian Yanez (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Adrian Yanez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$12.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.