Ukraine · resolved market
Will Mykhailo Drapatyi be appointed as the next Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7327136ab1e3bce915033ac80939e5123e952361ac431e3d857f30c800fa364
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,672
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x81e0…dfc5backed No | 3c | 7,774$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 3c | 1,128$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -12.8wins | -0.13per pick | 17cpaid | -91.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 11c | 1,007$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.83 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…3578backed Yes | 70c | 972.33$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.27 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 4c | 743.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked Yes | 51c | 665.55$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.33 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…ae94backed Yes | 55c | 566.16$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 11c | 435.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…3c56backed No | 31c | 414.53$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.52 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…3f32backed Yes | 69c | 348.05$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 3c | 318.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x542e…7981backed Yes | 69c | 288.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c08…eba9backed No | 59c | 282.63$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.75 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de2…a090backed Yes | 44c | 225.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…5057backed No | 29c | 199.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x810f…57aabacked Yes | 62c | 191$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x229a…dbc8backed Yes | 40c | 186.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 32c | 160.71$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 55c | 154.61$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…d4fdbacked Yes | 36c | 144.61$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…064bbacked No | 51c | 141.6$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.89 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa87f…864dbacked Yes | 72c | 115.3$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b22…3a92backed No | 53c | 113.39$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.57 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d00…0121backed No | 53c | 110.89$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a1…5645backed No | 54c | 109.37$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa3…fbc1backed No | 19c | 102.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6565…c235backed No | 31c | 101.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39c…08bcbacked Yes | 38c | 100.26$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 38c | 99.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e6…c078backed No | 15c | 95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 13c | 91.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 15c | 90.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 13c | 79.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc109…450bbacked No | 52c | 75.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…f5e7backed Yes | 27c | 74.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 21c | 71.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e56…a7f6backed Yes | 60c | 66.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 29c | 64.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 43c | 63.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 294 | 16%47 W · 247 L | -53.7wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 19c | 59.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 42c | 56.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa1…bf41backed Yes | 71c | 56.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked Yes | 27c | 51.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +5.9wins | +0.22per pick | 19cpaid | +142.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9c90…17efbacked No | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaead…6695backed Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8f…b385backed No | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4518…1cacbacked Yes | 67c | 37.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2b…665abacked Yes | 45c | 37.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 66c | 36.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7082…3a10backed No | 53c | 35.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc31…3fe8backed No | 37c | 35.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…fd70backed Yes | 45c | 34.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161e…af11backed Yes | 41c | 31.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe3…6599backed Yes | 57c | 30.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed No | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 48c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -60%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 48c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 55c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc15…cca6backed No | 49c | 25.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…0018backed No | 61c | 25.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a8…7493backed No | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x126e…c360backed No | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x017b…1ef4backed Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -64%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…f3b1backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed No | 64c | 19.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mykhailo Drapatyi be appointed as the next Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 2026?this page
- Will Oleh Apostol be appointed as the next Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 2026?No won
- Will Viktor Nikoliuk be appointed as the next Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 2026?No won
- Will Volodymyr Horbatiuk be appointed as the next Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 2026?No won
- Will there be no change to Ukraine’s Commander-in-Chief in 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.