TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x511f…cbe1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,199
Categories scored
36
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: CS2, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 57 out of 100; worst Movies at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweetslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT22160.2%133 W · 88 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 221 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$995Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$994.79
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.78
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$853Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$718.73
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+72.2%+$34.37
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,365Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$392.28
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$458Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$122.31
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,171Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,170.89
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.7
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$140.34
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$872Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$454.28
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,507Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$439.96
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+62.9%+$123.97
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$697Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+140.6%+$979.54
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+105.1%+$268.21
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.08
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.69
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,447Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,447.1
Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.37
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,351Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$1,145.32
Will White House post 200+ posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+93.4%+$14.22
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34.34
Will White House post 160-179 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$48.38
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,353Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,352.68
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,503Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,502.39
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500.32
Showing 25 of 221 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT21958%127 W · 92 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+27.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 219 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$10.72
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 50 million and 54 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$9.76
Will Donald Trump be shown 0-2 times at the World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Will Adidas be the shirt manufacturer of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.97
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$3,486Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,486.07
Will Kylian Mbappé record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.79
Will Rodri win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$178.34
Will Jude Bellingham win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$36.49
Will Lionel Messi win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$87.36
Will Norway win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+439.5%+$1,051.89
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$641Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+117.2%+$751.46
Will Pau Cubarsí win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.49
Will Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.1
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$4,238Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+456.1%+$19,332.35
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+247%+$329.19
Will the exact score of the penalty shootout in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be any other score?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.34
Will Jude Bellingham win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.46
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$815Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$815.42
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$36,294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36,294.11
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$982Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+79.4%+$779.87
Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$823Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+53.5%+$440.01
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,561Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$572.89
Will Lionel Messi record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$28.26
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$31,554Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+87.6%+$27,648.73
Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.56
Showing 25 of 219 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT10646.2%49 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 106 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will András Baka be the next President of Hungary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.78
Will Botond Fülöp be the next President of Hungary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$119.07
Will Eli Cohen win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.98
Will Amir Ohana win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$38.11
Will Israel Katz win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$21.66
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.9
Will Ademola Adeleke win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$779Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$779.22
Will Bola Oyebamiji win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$572Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+73.1%+$417.66
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$408.66
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$907Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$907.35
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,188Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+93.6%+$1,112.12
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+89.8%+$116.67
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$90.96
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+91.1%+$75.43
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+62.8%+$57.18
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.36
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$391.65
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$96.78
Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,453Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,452.58
Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,491Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$1,855.81
Will there be no next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.74
Will Wes Streeting be the next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+337.2%+$524.21
Will Ed Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$307.88
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,657Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+42%+$695.43
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$7,075Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$2,746.17
Showing 25 of 106 picks, newest first.
Movieslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT10339.8%41 W · 62 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 103 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.2
Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.04
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 72m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.06
Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$155.87
Will "The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.62
Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.29
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 52m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.17
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.62
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.82
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$43.12
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+285.3%+$164.38
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$509Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$508.83
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$213.92
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.46
Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.8
Will "72 Hours" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.76
Will "I Will Find You: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.34
Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,286Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,285.89
Will "72 Hours" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,723Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$655.78
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$985Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$984.62
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$802Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$453.33
Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,150.97
Will "Little House on the Prairie: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$411.63
Will "Little House on the Prairie: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$306.61
Will "Little House on the Prairie: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,835Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$723.54
Showing 25 of 103 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT10245.1%46 W · 56 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 102 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.87
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$558Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$221.23
Will James Martin be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,217Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,217.44
Will Bernard Taylor be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$524Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+203.1%+$1,065.45
Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.56
Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.49
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$713Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+62.8%+$447.74
Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$594Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$243.97
Will Ryan Elijah be the FL-07 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.09
Will Casey Askar be the FL-22 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.24
Will Mike Beltran be the FL-14 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.06
Will Amanda Green be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.89
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.94
Will Cory Mills be the FL-07 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$18.62
Will Belinda Keiser be the FL-22 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$34.44
Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+304.2%+$246.64
Will Ralph Norman place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$700.19
Will Darline Graham Nordone place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$10.81
Will Ralph Norman win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$184.39
Will Russell Fry place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$12.69
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$476.77
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+63.6%+$794.57
Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,819Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$657.4
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$576Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$576.06
Showing 25 of 102 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT7943%34 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 79 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$656Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$656.18
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$549Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+116.6%+$639.92
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.04
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.35
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+92.7%+$170.77
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$39.15
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+59%+$32.29
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$178.43
Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.1
Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+205.7%+$139.08
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,560.49
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+91.7%+$140.66
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$393.43
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,462Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,462.2
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13,539Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,539.4
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13,140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+51.2%+$6,732.28
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,086Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$945.77
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$534Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$533.92
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,490.47
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.31
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.43
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,570Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$881.33
Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+434.2%+$408.03
Showing 25 of 79 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT3467.6%23 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be >7 minutes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+83.4%+$176.69
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,182Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$386.84
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$428.67
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,252Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$316.26
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$67.45
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$64.69
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$62.13
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$679.55
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$24.43
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.56
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.45
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+92%+$511.3
Will Max Verstappen achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+73.1%+$21.42
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.44
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.63
Will Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.13
Will Lewis Hamilton win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+121.7%+$174.41
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,155.06
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$845Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+86.3%+$729.14
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+106.1%+$77.26
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$891Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$522.55
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$852Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$561.08
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.57
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$34.91
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$52.61
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT2857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$11.54
Will LeBron's next contract average $10M-$15M per year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.17
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$133,974Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$40,920.38
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$108,203Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$40,357.78
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$99,238Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$55,078.76
Will LeBron James sign his next NBA contract on July 7 or after?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.76
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$915Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$915.41
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+95.2%+$475.3
Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$266.85
Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$412.04
Will Darryn Peterson be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$861Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$286.16
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20,369Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,369.06
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21,663Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+75.2%+$16,297.7
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,758Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,757.7
Will Jalen Brunson lead the 2026 NBA Finals in total points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,108.41
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$6,951Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$2,231.91
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$7,136Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$2,487.12
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,057Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$900.15
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-0 be the exact series outcome?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$605Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$268.26
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$3,360Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+194.7%+$6,539.46
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$584Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$583.92
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$48.24
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$6,294Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,293.64
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,513Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+93.6%+$5,157.83
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT2842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.16
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+85.1%+$155.35
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.75
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$452Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$247.14
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.63
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$25.26
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$542Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$541.8
Will 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,162Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$342.06
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$471Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$471.13
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.59
Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.76
Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+102.2%+$12.64
Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.87
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$652Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+228.5%+$1,488.71
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,261.53
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.81
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+157.2%+$23.1
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.67
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+211%+$58.86
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.46
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.92
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$741Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$324.15
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$373.94
Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$107.68
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$669Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$669.47
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+32.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.43
Will there be more than 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.81
Will Hong Kong have 500mm or more of precipitation in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.26
Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$34.37
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+213.2%+$107.68
Will there be more than 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+855%+$260.53
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$72.65
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.3
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$40.5
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.23
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$47.39
Will May 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.38
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.83
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$19.55
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+82.9%+$28.31
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+487.2%+$148.46
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$51.6
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$53.58
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.15
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$38.38
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$17.16
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.52
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.19
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT2568%17 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rune Eaters win the 2026 Games of the Future tournamentbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$15.81
Team Liquid vs LGD Gaming: Draw (1-1)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.99
Team Liquid to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$32.84
LGD Gaming to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$41.58
1win to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.71
Nigma Galaxy vs 1win: Draw (1-1)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+81.2%+$11
Nigma Galaxy to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$5.41
Will Team Yandex win the EWC Dota 2 Tournamentbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,581Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$605.17
Team Yandex to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.66
1win to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$55.79
1win vs Team Yandex: Draw (1-1)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$109.15
Aurora to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+65%+$172.51
Aurora vs Team Liquid: Draw (1-1)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.42
Team Liquid to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$103.86
BetBoom Team to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$309.5
BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion: Draw (1-1)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$574Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$257.95
Team Yandex vs Inner Circle: Draw (1-1)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.1
PARIVISION to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.52
Vici Gaming vs PARIVISION: Draw (1-1)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.58
Poor Rangers vs BetBoom Team: Draw (1-1)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$7.74
Team Liquid vs PlayTime: Draw (1-1)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,247.29
Team Liquid to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$818Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+141.2%+$1,155.01
Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team: Draw (1-1)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,471Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,470.58
Team Falcons to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,601Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+55.8%+$1,450.31
BetBoom Team to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,909Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$1,142.03
All 25 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.81
Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+248.8%+$62.77
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.13
Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+185.5%+$196.29
Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.68
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.3
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.61
Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$114.68
Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,155Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+121.1%+$1,398.41
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,698Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,697.94
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,727Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$1,730.28
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$624Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$541.91
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$4,070Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$2,069.67
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+164.1%+$317.04
Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$115.8
Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$32.23
Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.4
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$447Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+110.4%+$493.73
Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$609Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$608.65
All 19 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Caleb Malhotra be drafted with the 3rd pick in the 2026 NHL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.83
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,734Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$462.63
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,659Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,658.7
Will Jordan Staal win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.54
Will Jordan Staal lead the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals in goals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.32
Will Mitch Marner win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$8.72
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.38
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,347Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$639.44
Will Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$4,440Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$1,722.91
Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,674Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+86.8%+$3,187.91
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$996Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+80.6%+$803.43
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,012Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,012.28
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.96
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+62%+$121.39
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,896Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+60.8%+$1,151.98
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Eastern Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$6.87
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1580%12 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Vitality Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$7,034Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$2,332.12
Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,399Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+94.4%+$2,264.8
Will Vitality Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$475.97
Will Falcons Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$865Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$288.38
Will 9z Team Win the XSE Pro Leaguebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.37
Will PARIVISION Win the XSE Pro Leaguebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$38.91
Will FaZe Clan Win the XSE Pro Leaguebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$48.36
Will BetBoom Team Win the XSE Pro Leaguebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$18.62
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25,393Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$7,314.19
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25,801Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+109.3%+$28,190.86
Will MOUZ win CS Asia Championships 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$34.3
Will Navi win IEM Atlanta 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.48
Will GamerLegion win IEM Atlanta 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$76.75
Will Falcons win PGL Astana 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+70.8%+$48.12
Will Spirit win PGL Astana 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.38
All 15 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.18
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$10.88
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$10.94
Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+50.5%+$11.75
Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$12.6
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$608Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$607.59
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,095Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+104.4%+$1,143.2
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,395Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$553.06
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,136Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+87.4%+$992.89
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–$2.50 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$282.67
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$272.95
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,435Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$579.53
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,689Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,689.16
Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,189Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+87.6%+$1,042.15
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.56
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-07-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.27
Will Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$13.54
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-07-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$26.41
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Qairat FK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$186.69
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.77
Will Sabah FK win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.11
Will Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$55.41
Will Kuopion PS win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$66.22
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.21
Will FK Sutjeska Nikšić win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$17.11
Will FK Sutjeska Nikšić vs. Qairat FK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+29%+$17.26
Will ETO FC win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$668Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$1,137.78
Will SK Iberia 1999 win on 2026-07-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,157.81
Will FC Flora win on 2026-07-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,231Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$606.47
Will FC Flora vs. SK Iberia 1999 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$588.09
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brandon Nakashima Win the Cincinnati Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+73.5%+$8.47
Will Ben Shelton Win ATP Montrealbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.02
Will Rafael Jodar Win ATP Montrealbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$92.45
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,931Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,930.8
Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$19.23
Will Marta Kostyuk be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$8.72
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.4
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$4,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,009.91
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$143.99
Will Iga Świątek win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$125.99
Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$115.06
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,355Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$1,294.45
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+259.7%+$576.88
All 13 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-46.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,988Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,987.6
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,408Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$1,836.64
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.61
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.04
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$403.33
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,704Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,704.25
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$378.4
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,141Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$794.23
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$99.21
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$657Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$254.84
Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.21
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$701Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$195.32
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.14
All 13 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+29%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gen.G win the EWC League of Legends Tournamentbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,048Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+41%+$1,248.79
Will Bilibili Gaming win the EWC League of Legends Tournamentbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,364Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$1,126.5
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the EWC League of Legends Tournamentbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,890Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$1,209.85
Will knight Win MSI Finals MVPbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+268.5%+$123.2
Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,133.21
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$896Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$896.24
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,892Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$826.99
Will LPL (China) Region Win the Most Series in the MSI 2026 Knockout Stagebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$7.08
Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,301Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+110.4%+$3,645.9
Will T1 win MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,282Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$403.43
Will Bilibili Gaming win LPL 2026 Split 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.55
Will Top Esports win LPL 2026 Split 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.7
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 0 - 0 Levante UD?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$896Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$268.03
Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.38
Will Florentino Perez win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.79
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.46
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$22.96
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$22.96
Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$640
Will AD Ceuta FC vs. Albacete Balompié end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$736Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+36%+$264.46
Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2026-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$13.72
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.28
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$22.54
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$400
All 12 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austin FC vs. Philadelphia Union end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,800
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,522Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+113.1%+$2,851.96
Will Austin FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,750Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$1,250
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,295Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,295.04
Will Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,104Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$593.56
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,943Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$755.44
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,950Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+153.2%+$6,050
Will Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,900Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$1,099.9
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,908Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,907.8
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,555Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$5,455.5
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-08-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,707Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$1,302.6
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid+64.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+957.7%+$762.39
Will Helsingin JK vs. Motherwell FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.07
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-08-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$29.7
Will Helsingin JK win on 2026-08-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$45.54
Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-07-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.35
Will Bohemian FC win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$951Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$950.96
Will Bohemian FC vs. FC Ballkani end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,015Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$628.8
Will FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FC Universitatea Cluj end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.92
Will Atlétic Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.24
Will Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$20.23
Will FK Mornar Bar win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$32.34
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$15.99
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 10–15 seconds by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.58
Will USD be between 1.8M and 1.9M Iranian rials on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$6.86
Will USD be between 1.5M and 1.6M Iranian rials on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$58.56
Will USD be between 1.6M and 1.7M Iranian rials on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+105.2%+$169.3
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$414.13
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$9,079Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,078.85
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18,387Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$4,832.61
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.72
All 9 picks, newest first.
Chesslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen Win EWC 2026 Chess?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.63
Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu Win the 2026 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz Tournamentbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Javokhir Sindarov Win the 2026 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz Tournamentbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2026 Super Rapid & Blitz Croatia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.79
Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov win the 2026 Super Rapid & Blitz Croatia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$11.87
Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win the 2026 Super Rapid & Blitz Croatia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$11.54
Will Wesley So win Norway Chess 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$57.02
Will Alireza Firouzja win Norway Chess 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$59.75
Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+64.4%+$75.77
All 9 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-42.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+64.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+67.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-64.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-54.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-33.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-35.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025-26 Euroleague?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$25.8
Will Olympiacos win the 2025-26 Euroleague?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.36
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.